印尼实际汇率的决定因素:误差修正模型方法

F. Randa, H. Aimon
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的目的是检验短期和长期关系解释印尼实际汇率的冲击。分析模型采用Johansen-juselius协整和误差修正模型(ECM)。数据采用1982年至2017年的时间序列。研究发现,贸易开放程度、经常账户余额和通货膨胀对实际汇率有显著影响。在短期内,通货膨胀和外国投资直接造成了印尼的实际汇率冲击。因此,除其他外,建议必须制定政策以稳定通货膨胀问题
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Determinant Of Real Exchange Rate In Indonesia: Error Correction Model Approach
The aim of this study is to examine the short-term and long-term relationship explain the shock of the real exchange rate in Indonesia. The analysis model is used cointegration of Johansen-juselius and error correction model (ECM). Data is used by time series from 1982 to 2017. The findings of this study found that trade openness, current account balance, and inflation significantly affected the real exchange rate. In the short term, inflation and foreign investment caused real exchange rate shocks in Indonesia directly. It is thus recommended amongst others that policies have to be put in place to stabilize the problem of inflation
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