瑞士农业农业出口的决定因素

A. Ferjani, A. Zimmermann, A. Roesch
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在过去的30年里,瑞士的农场数量平均每年减少近2%。每个农场的平均面积从10公顷增加到19公顷以上。为了分析推动农场退出的力量,本研究使用了2001年至2011年瑞士农场结构调查(FSS)的数据。这些数据被用于二元逻辑回归模型来估计退出概率和确定结构变化的因素。logit结果表明,年轻经营者退出农场的概率降低,而年老经营者退出农场的概率增加。有机农业、农场规模、每公顷人力单位数和全职耕作对出口也有显著的负向影响。相反,农场经营者的工作强度和性别对农场出口有正向影响
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Determining Factors of Farm Exit in Agriculture in Switzerland
Over the past 30 years, the number of farms in Switzerland decreased by an average of almost 2% per annum. The average area per farm rose from 10 ha to over 19 ha. In order to analyse the forces driving farm exits, this study uses data from the Swiss Farm Structure Survey (FSS) between 2001 and 2011. These data are used in binary logistic regression models to estimate exit probabilities and determining factors of structural change. The logit results show that the probability of farm exit decreases for younger but increases for older operators. Organic farming, farm size, number of manpower units per hectare and farming full-time are also found to have a significant negative influence on exit. By contrast, work intensity and sex of the farm operator positively influence farm exits
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