利用集成模型为未开发气田群的数字化气田开发奠定基础:一个案例研究

R. Ramdzani, O. Talabi, Adeline Siaw Hui Chua, Edwin Lawrence
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引用次数: 0

摘要

X油田位于东南亚海上,是一个深水浊积天然气绿地,目前正在使用海底回接生产系统进行开发。它是预计将作为一个集群共同开发的一组油田的一部分。由于这一发展的性质,可以预见到几个关键挑战:1)地下不确定性;2)生产网络对系统可交付性和流量保证的影响;3)在生产管理中有效利用高频数据。本研究的目的是展示一种灵活而强大的方法,通过将油藏模型的多种实现与地面网络模型相结合,并展示如何将其与未来的“实时”生产数据联系起来,来解决这些挑战。本文描述了克服这些挑战的解决方案的开发和部署。此外,本文还描述了结果和关键观察结果,为进一步推进现场数字化提供建议。该过程首先对基本情况动态油藏模型进行质量检查,以提高性能,并在合理的时间内实现多次实现。然后进行敏感性和不确定性分析,得到与稳态地表网络模型相结合的地下模型的10种实现。然后对综合模型进行不确定条件下的优化,以评估三种说明性的开发方案。为了证明可扩展性,另外两个候选储层也被绑定到系统中,并作为一个单一的集成资产模型建模,以满足预期的天然气输送目标。接下来,将地下模型与多相瞬态网络模型相结合,以展示如何使用该模型来评估计划生产启动期间沿管道形成水合物的风险。最后一步,使用集成软件中的内置应用程序编程接口(API)执行自动化,使集成模型能够被激活并自动运行,同时使用示例“实时”生产数据进行更新。在研究结束时,油藏模拟性能得到了改善,运行时间减少了四分之一,而基本情况结果没有明显变化。油藏-稳态耦合网络的模拟和优化结果表明,由于背压的影响,该网络在所有实现中最多可限制油藏的产能4%,而最优的开发方案是推迟首次产气,并在高压下缩短作业时间。考虑到综合模型中的额外油藏,生产平台可以在不超过规定的水处理限制的情况下,在基本情况下延长至15年。对于水合物风险分析,水合物形成与流体温度的差异表明存在水合物形成的潜在风险,可以通过增加抑制剂浓度来降低水合物风险。最后,自动化过程成功地用样本数据进行了测试,以生成更新的生产预测概况,因为“新的”生产数据被输入数据库,从而可以立即进行分析。该研究展示了一种通过将油藏模型的多种实现与地面网络相结合来改进预测和情景评估的方法。该研究还表明,当与“实时”数据和自动化逻辑相结合,为数字化现场部署奠定基础时,这种集成模型可以在未来得到推广,以改善现场管理。
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Laying the Foundations of a Digital Gas Field Development in a Greenfield Cluster Using Integrated Modelling: A Case Study
Field X located in offshore South East Asia, is a deepwater, turbidite natural gas greenfield currently being developed using a subsea tieback production system. It is part of a group of fields anticipated to be developed together as a cluster. Due to the nature of this development, several key challenges were foreseen: i) subsurface uncertainty ii) production network impact on system deliverability and flow assurance iii) efficient use of high frequency data in managing production. The objective of this study was to demonstrate a flexible and robust methodology to address these challenges by integrating multiple realizations of the reservoir model with surface network models and showing how this could be link to "live" production data in the future. This paper describes the development and deployment of the solutions to overcome those challenges. Furthermore, the paper describes the results and key observations for further recommendation in moving forward to field digitalization. The process started with a quality check of the base case dynamic reservoir model to improve performance and enable multiple realization runs in a reasonable timeframe. This was followed by sensitivity and uncertainty analysis to obtain 10 realizations of the subsurface model which were integrated with the steady-state surface network model. Optimization under uncertainty was then performed on the integrated model to evaluate three illustrative development scenarios. To demonstrate extensibility, two additional candidate reservoirs for future development were also tied in to the system and modelled as a single integrated asset model to meet the anticipated gas delivery targets. Next, the subsurface model was integrated with a multiphase transient network model to show how it can be used to evaluate the risk of hydrate formation along the pipeline during planned production start-up. As a final step, in-built application programming interface (API) in the integration software was used to perform automation, enabling the integrated model to be activated and run automatically while being updated with sample "live" production data. At the conclusion of the study, the reservoir simulation performance was improved, reducing runtime by a factor of four without significant change in base case results. The results of the coupled reservoir to steady-state network simulation and optimization showed that the network could constrain reservoir deliverability by up to 4% in all realizations due to back pressure, and the most optimum development scenario was to delay first gas production and operate with shorter duration at high separator pressure. With the additional reservoirs in the integrated model, the production plateau could be extended up to 15 years beyond the base case without exceeding the specified water handling limit. For hydrates risk analysis, the differences between hydrate formation and fluid temperature indicated there was a potential risk of hydrate formation, which could be reduced by increasing inhibitor concentration. Finally, the automation process was successfully tested with sample data to generate updated production forecast profiles as the "new" production data was fed into the database, enabling immediate analysis. This study demonstrated an approach to improve forecasting and scenario evaluation by using multiple realizations of the reservoir model coupled to a surface network. The study also demonstrated that this integrated model can be carried forward to improve management of the field in the future when combined with "live" data and automation logic to create a foundation for a digital field deployment.
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