从伊尔库茨克州的角度看富裕的悖论

Elena Bisikalo, Yulia Kolesnik
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摘要

本文考虑了油气开采加速增长对资源区社会经济状况可能产生负面影响的问题。负面影响是基于众所周知的资源诅咒、荷兰病和食利者状态的概念,这些概念被“充足悖论”一词结合在一起。它提出使用租金导向行为和赞助的模型来分析经济主体的激励。就区域生产总值和就业结构的变化而言在区域一级按类型划分。它证实了在制定长期经济增长的区域战略时监测出现的空间和部门扭曲的重要性。克服负面影响的可能性与需要在明智的专业化框架内执行结构性工业政策和为区域经济贸易部门的企业提供奖励有关。
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Paradox of Plenty in Terms of Irkutsk Oblast
The article considers a problem of a possible negative impact of the accelerated growth of oil and gas extraction on the socio-economic situation of the resource-producing region. The negative effects are based on the well-known concepts of the resource curse, the Dutch disease and the rentier state which are combined by the term «paradox of plenty». It offers to use models of rent-oriented behavior and patronage in order to analyze the incentives of economic agents. In terms of the shifts in the structure of gross regional product and employment by types at the regional level. It substantiates the significance of monitoring the arising spatial and sectoral distortions when forming the regional strategy of a long-term economic growth. The possibilities of overcoming negative effects are associated with the need of performing a structural industrial policy within the frames of smart specialization and providing incentives for businesses in the traded sector of the regional economy.
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