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引用次数: 3

摘要

当技术采用呈现出类似时尚的特征时,对技术结果的需求和期望就会出现大幅波动。公司可能会看到收入飙升,但如果不了解消费者采用决策过程的动态,收入也会迅速下降。在本文中,我们提出了一个基于Rogers的技术采用生命周期的流行技术采用模型,并在此基础上加入了信息级联和采用者阈值理论。正如沃特金斯(Watkins)和迪尔凯姆(Durkheim)的理论所建议的那样,生命周期每个阶段的采用者行为可能是个人主义的,也可能是整体的。宏观产品和微观采用用户层面的案例分析,采用苹果iphone etm说明了模型的应用和个人和整体的社会行为的时尚式的技术采用。论文最后对消费者技术公司提出了建议,并呼吁进一步研究使采用生命周期活动的解释和预测复杂化的行业和消费者因素。
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Fad-like Technology Adoption as a Social Action
When technology adoption takes on fad-like characteristics, large swings in demand and expectations for the technology result. Companies can see revenues skyrocket, only to fall just as fast without understanding the dynamics of the consumer adoption decision process. In this paper, we present a model for fad-like technology adoption built upon Rogers' technology adoption lifecycle, to which we add the theory of information cascades and adopter thresholds. Adopter behaviour in each stage of the lifecycle may be individualistic or holistic, as suggested by the theories of Watkins and Durkheim. Macro product and micro adopting user level case analyses of the adoption of the Apple iPhoneTM illustrate the application of the model and the individual and holistic social actions of fad-like technology adoption. The paper closes with advice for consumer technology companies and a call for further study of industry and consumer factors that complicate the interpretation and prediction of adoption lifecycle activity.
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