基于数字孪生的网联电动汽车剩余续驶里程预测

IF 0.7 Q4 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY SAE International Journal of Electrified Vehicles Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI:10.4271/14-13-01-0004
Shilong Zhuo, Heng Li, Muazz Bin Kaleem, Hui Peng, Yue Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于充电站有限,电动汽车充电时间长,充电不方便,这是导致驾驶者里程焦虑的主要原因。实时准确的续驶里程预测可以帮助驾驶者规划行程,缓解续驶里程焦虑,促进电动汽车的发展。然而,由于不同的天气、道路状况、驾驶员习惯和有限的可用数据,预测电动汽车的续驶里程具有挑战性。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种新的基于数字孪生的续驶里程预测方法。首先,利用北京一年的真实电动汽车数据。对数据集进行详细的特征选择,提取出6个关键特征:电池荷电状态、消耗电池荷电状态、电池总电压、电池最大电池电压、电池最小电池电压和已行驶里程。然后,利用随机森林方法对电动汽车续驶里程预测模型进行训练。分别训练了采用不同特征的4个预测模型。最后,提出了随机森林输入的滑动窗口算法,研究了滑动窗口算法对四种预测模型预测精度的影响,并对不同窗口大小进行了评估。结果表明,滑动窗口算法可以显著改善仅SOC作为输入的预测模型,而对其他具有更多特征的模型则会造成损害。将所有6个特征都作为输入的预测模型,准确率最高的模型提供了89.8%的数据,准确率超过80%,而不考虑过去能源消耗的预测模型的数据比例仅为31.8%。
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Digital Twin-Based Remaining Driving Range Prediction for Connected Electric Vehicles
Electric vehicles (EVs) suffer from long charging time and inconvenient charging due to limited charging stations, which are the main causes of drivers’ range anxiety. Real-time and accurate driving range prediction can help drivers plan journeys, alleviate range anxiety, and promote EV development. However, predicting the EV driving range is challenging due to different weather, road conditions, driver habits, and limited available data. To address this issue, this article proposes a novel digital twin-based driving range prediction method. First, a one-year real-world EV dataset in Beijing is utilized. Detailed feature selection is conducted for the dataset, and six key features are extracted: battery SOC, consumed battery SOC, battery total voltage, battery maximum cell voltage, battery minimum cell voltage, and mileage already driven. Then, a random forest method is used to train the EV driving range prediction model using the features described earlier. Four prediction models with different adopted features are trained, respectively. Finally, the sliding window algorithm is proposed for the input of random forest to investigate its impact on prediction accuracy in the four prediction models, and different window sizes are evaluated. Results show that the sliding window algorithm can significantly improve the prediction model with only SOC as input, while it can deteriorate other models with more features. The most accurate model taking all six features as inputs provides 89.8% data that has an accuracy of over 80%, while data proportion of the prediction model without past energy consumption is only 31.8%.
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来源期刊
SAE International Journal of Electrified Vehicles
SAE International Journal of Electrified Vehicles Engineering-Automotive Engineering
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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