尼日利亚啤酒行业的前景

Paul A. Ugboya, Martins A. Odiamenhi
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摘要

本研究分析了经济学和啤酒厂行业的决定因素(吉尼斯尼日利亚有限公司),以建立未来的啤酒厂在尼日利亚的观点。具体目标是估计影响产品生产的因素,并确定公司生产的产品的生存能力。多元回归和普通最小二乘技术用于分析长期(2006 - 2015)年度时间序列数据。结果表明,需要量是决定黑啤、哈普和麦芽生产的主要因素。作为一项重要的投入,它对产品的生产产生积极的影响。回归系数(R2)的观测值为0.99349 (Stout), 0.90981 (Harp)和0.99498 (Malt),表明它们对Guinness Nigeria Ltd.的未来是可靠的。结果还表明,预测到2025年,黑啤生产需求(LstoutD)的对数分别为13.5277,LharpD为21.8439,LmaltD为12.2653,表明该州啤酒生产是可行的,前景光明。
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Prospects of the Nigeria Brewery Industry
This study analyses the economics and determinants of a brewery industry (Guinness Nigeria Limited) with a view of establishing the future of breweries in Nigeria. The specific objectives were to estimate the factors influencing products production and determine the viability of products manufactured by the company. Multiple regression and the ordinary least square techniques were used to analyse the long-term (2006 - 2015) annual time series data observed for the study. The results showed that the major determinant of Stout, Harp and Malt production is demanded. As a significant input, it positively influences product production. The observed values of regression coefficients (R2) are 0.99349 (for Stout), 0.90981 (for Harp), and 0.99498 (for Malt), which indicates that they are reliable for determining the future of Guinness Nigeria Ltd. The results also showed that logarithm of demand for Stout production (LstoutD) of 13.5277, LharpD of 21.8439 and LmaltD of 12.2653 were projected respectively up to the year 2025, an indication that brewery production in the state is viable and that future is bright.
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