气候变化风险和抵押贷款成本

Duc Duy Nguyen, S. Ongena, Shusen Qi, Vathunyoo Sila
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引用次数: 35

摘要

我们表明,贷款人对暴露在海平面上升(SLR)风险更大的房产的抵押贷款收取更高的利率。这种SLR溢价在短期贷款中并不明显,也与借款人的短期已实现违约或信誉无关。此外,当气候变化的后果不太突出以及在气候变化否认者较多的地区,SLR溢价较小。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,抵押贷款机构将单反风险视为一种长期风险,并且关注和信念是住宅抵押贷款市场中单反风险定价的潜在障碍。
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Climate Change Risk and the Cost of Mortgage Credit
We show that lenders charge higher interest rates for mortgages on properties exposed to a greater risk of sea level rise (SLR). This SLR premium is not evident in short-term loans and is not related to borrowers’ short-term realized default or creditworthiness. Further, the SLR premium is smaller when the consequences of climate change are less salient and in areas with more climate change deniers. Overall, our results suggest that mortgage lenders view the risk of SLR as a long-term risk and that attention and beliefs are potential barriers through which SLR risk is priced in residential mortgage markets.
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