让电脑租金价格合理:调和折旧的不同观点

Erwin Diewert, Hui Wei
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引用次数: 3

摘要

国家统计机构经常假定计算机的几何折旧率很高。然而,通常一台计算机在其使用寿命内产生的服务流大致是恒定的,这与折旧的几何模型相矛盾。单主机shay折旧模型似乎更适合于计算机。本文利用澳大利亚过去25年的计算机投资数据,构建了计算机资本存量和流动的粗略估计,并考虑了如何用几何模型最好地近似这些更现实的折旧模型。本文表明,在一定的假设条件下,几何模型可以提供一个精确的近似底层单host shay模型。这个精确的结果可以推广到更一般的折旧模型,即恒定效率剖面模型。最后,给出了在假设不满足的情况下,几何近似对单host shay模型的拟合效果。
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Getting Rental Prices Right for Computers: Reconciling Different Perspectives on Depreciation
National statistical agencies frequently assume high geometric depreciation rates for computers. However, typically the service flow that a computer generates over its useful life is roughly constant, which contradicts the geometric model of depreciation. A one hoss shay model of depreciation seems to be more appropriate for computers. The paper uses Australian data on computer investment over the past 25 years to construct one hoss shay estimates of computer capital stocks and flows and considers how best to approximate these more realistic models of depreciation with a geometric model. The paper shows that under certain assumptions, a geometric model can provide an exact approximation to an underlying one hoss shay model. This exactness result is extended to a more general model of depreciation, the Constant Efficiency Profile model. Finally, the paper shows how well the geometric approximation fits a one hoss shay model when the assumptions are not satisfied.
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