芬兰湾沿岸海平面趋势的变化

O. Nikitin
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摘要

编制了芬兰湾所有台站的月平均海平面历史时间序列,从每个台站开始进行海平面观测到台站关闭,或俄罗斯台站为2005年,芬兰台站为2004年,爱沙尼亚台站为1991年。这些数据是对1920年至1991年这一共同时期的趋势进行分析的。结果表明,在芬兰湾北部海岸,海平面变化趋势从西部(图尔库和汉科)的负3-4毫米/年到东部(利西岛)的正1.5毫米/年。在芬兰湾的南部海岸,海平面趋势从西到东(站与站之间)的变化不像北部海岸那样规律。然而,南部海岸的趋势值远小于北部海岸。因此得出结论,在趋势计算误差范围内,南海岸的海平面趋势也从西部(在里斯托纳,普萨斯佩亚)的小负值变化到东部(在罗蒙诺索夫)的+ 1.4 mm/年。在海湾的前端(涅瓦卡亚港),正趋势最大:3.3毫米/年。相对于全球海平面上升(上个世纪约为2毫米/年),除圣彼得堡外,所有点的趋势值均为负值。它们的空间分布与Fennoscandia冰川后隆升图一致(Ekman, 1996)。
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Variation of sea level trends along the coast of the Gulf of Finland
Historical time series of monthly mean values of sea level were compiled for all stations in the Gulf of Finland for time periods starting from the beginning of sea level observations at each station and until station closing, or the year 2005 for Russian, 2004 for Finnish and 1991 for Estonian stations. These data were analysed for trends for a common period from 1920 till 1991. It was found that along the northern coast of the Gulf of Finland, the sea level trends change from minus 3-4 mm/year along the western part of this coast (at Turku and Hanko) to plus 1,5 mm/year along the eastern part of the coast (at Lisiy Nos). Along the southern coast of the Gulf of Finland, the sea level trends change from west to east (from station to station) not as regularly as along the northern coast. However, trend values along the southern coast are considerably less than along the northern coast. It was therefore concluded that within the limits of errors of trend calculations, the sea level trends along the southern coast also change from small negative values in the west (at Ristna, Poosaspea) to plus 1,4 mm/year in the east (at Lomonosov). At the head of the Gulf (at Port of Nevskaya), the positive trend was the largest: 3,3 mm/year. Relative to the global sea level rise (about 2 mm/year during the last century) trend values are negative in all points except Saint Petersburg. Their spatial distribution is consistent with the map of post-glacial uplift in Fennoscandia (Ekman, 1996).
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