异质性因果效应的工具效度

Zhenting Sun
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文提供了一个在异质性因果效应模型中检验工具效度的一般框架。我们首先概括了Balke和Pearl(1997)、Imbens和Rubin(1997)以及Heckman和Vytlacil(2005)提出的工具效度假设的可测试含义。泛化涉及处理可以是多值(和有序)或无序的情况,并且可以存在条件协变量。基于这些可检验的意义,我们提出了一个非参数检验,证明了它是渐近大小控制和一致的。由于所讨论问题的非标准性质,测试统计量是基于非光滑映射构建的,这会导致技术上的复杂性。我们提供了一个扩展的连续映射定理和一个扩展的delta方法,这可能是独立的兴趣,以建立检验统计量在零下的渐近分布。然后,我们扩展了Fang和Santos(2018)提出的bootstrap方法来近似这个渐近分布,并为检验构造一个临界值。与Kitagawa(2015)提出的测试相比,我们的测试可以应用于更一般的设置,并可能实现功率改进。仿真结果表明,该方法在有限样本条件下性能良好。我们重新审视Card(1993)的实证研究,并使用他们的数据来证明所提出的测试在实践中的应用。我们表明,如果治疗变得粗糙,多值治疗的有效工具可能不再有效。
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Instrument Validity for Heterogeneous Causal Effects
This paper provides a general framework for testing instrument validity in heterogeneous causal effect models. We first generalize the testable implications of the instrument validity assumption provided by Balke and Pearl (1997), Imbens and Rubin (1997), and Heckman and Vytlacil (2005). The generalization involves the cases where the treatment can be multivalued (and ordered) or unordered, and there can be conditioning covariates. Based on these testable implications, we propose a nonparametric test which is proved to be asymptotically size controlled and consistent. Because of the nonstandard nature of the problem in question, the test statistic is constructed based on a nonsmooth map, which causes technical complications. We provide an extended continuous mapping theorem and an extended delta method, which may be of independent interest, to establish the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under null. We then extend the bootstrap method proposed by Fang and Santos (2018) to approximate this asymptotic distribution and construct a critical value for the test. Compared to the test proposed by Kitagawa (2015), our test can be applied in more general settings and may achieve power improvement. Evidence that the test performs well on finite samples is provided via simulations. We revisit the empirical study of Card (1993) and use their data to demonstrate application of the proposed test in practice. We show that a valid instrument for a multivalued treatment may not remain valid if the treatment is coarsened.
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