长三角区域交通一体化与经济高质量发展:耦合协调分析

Na Li, Yun Song, Wen Xia, Shucai Fu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

区域交通一体化能够提高区域互联互通水平,降低交通运输成本,促进劳动力、资本、技术和数据流动,是推动区域一体化和经济高质量发展的重要内容。然而,区域交通一体化也难以定量评价,难以全面理解规划一体化的不同区域的具体交通-经济关系。本文以中国最大的区域一体化项目——长三角41个城市为研究对象。建立了两套定量评价区域交通一体化和经济高质量发展的指标体系。然后进行耦合协调度分析,考察两个系统之间的关系。研究发现,耦合协调程度较高的区域与上海-南京-合肥、上海-杭州-宁波城市群呈“z”形带。此外,还识别并绘制了区域交通一体化与高质量经济发展之间的具体发展差距,显示了交通发展落后于经济发展的地区,反之亦然。在此基础上,从省域和区域发展的角度提出了若干政策建议。建议在协调良好的z型区域和交通发展落后于经济发展的地区,继续投资于交通发展和一体化,而对于交通已经相对发达于经济发展的欠发达地区,不建议用交通投资来解决经济问题。
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Regional Transportation Integration and High-Quality Economic Development, Coupling Coordination Analysis, in the Yangtze River Delta, China
Regional transportation integration is a key aspect in promoting regional integration and high-quality economic development, as it can improve inter-regional connectivity, decrease transportation costs, and facilitate the flow of labor, capital, technology, and data. However, regional transportation integration is also difficult to quantitatively evaluate, causing difficulties in comprehensively understanding the specific transportation–economic relationships for different regions that are planned for integration. This article studied 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta, which is known as the largest regional integration project in China. Two sets of index systems were created to quantitatively evaluate regional transportation integration and high-quality economic development. Coupling coordination degree analysis was then performed to investigate the relationship between the two systems. It was found that areas with a high degree of coupling coordination are located in the Z-shaped belt with the Shanghai–Nanjing–Hefei and Shanghai–Hangzhou–Ningbo urban agglomerations. Furthermore, specific developmental gaps between regional transportation integration and high-quality economic development were identified and mapped, showing areas with transportation development falling behind economic development and vice versa. Based on these findings, a number of policy suggestions are provided from the perspective of province and regional development. It is recommended to continue to invest in transportation development and integration in the well-coordinated Z-shaped region and areas with transportation development falling behind economic development, while it is not recommended to use transportation investment to solve economic problems for those under-developed regions that already have relatively advanced transportation than economic development.
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