为什么疾病和死亡率不会随时间平行移动。

J. Riley
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引用次数: 15

摘要

学者们有时声称死亡率和发病率随着时间的推移是平行的。通过对19世纪英格兰和威尔士的案例研究,本文描绘了历史上人口之间的实际关系,并探讨了为什么不应该期望平行现象。发现死亡率和发病率图表独立过程的含义是,它们要么是由不同的因素形成的,要么是由以不同方式运作的相同因素形成的。因此,不应期望为控制死亡率而制订的政策能控制发病率。
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Why sickness and death rates do not move parallel to one another over time.
Scholars sometimes claim that mortality and morbibity move papallel to one another over time. Using case studies from nineteenth-century England and Wales, this essay plots actual relationships in historical populations and explores why parallelism should not be expected. The implication of finding that mortality and morbidity chart independent courses is that they are either shaped by different factors or by the same factors operating in different ways. Hence morbidity should not be expected to be controlled by policies formulated to control mortality.
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