农药使用与健康结果:来自中国农业水污染的证据

Wangyang Lai
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引用次数: 119

摘要

通过将中国几本统计年鉴(1998-2011)中的省级农药使用报告与中国纵向健康寿命调查(1998-2011)联系起来,本研究提供了新的证据,证明农药通过饮用水暴露对健康结果产生不利影响。我们采用了“差中差中差”的框架,比较了2004年前后不同水稻农药使用强度地区饮用地表水和地下水的人的健康结果。2004年,中国从农业税收转向农业补贴。结果表明,水稻农药使用量每增加10%,65岁及以上农村居民的一项关键医疗残疾指数(日常生活活动或ADL)就会产生1%的不利影响。这相当于医疗和家庭护理费用分别为213万美元和64万美元。此外,我们通过显示农药的使用减少了受影响家庭中后代的外迁,提供了代际照顾负担转移的暗示证据。结果是稳健的各种鲁棒性检查和证伪检验。
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Pesticide Use and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Agricultural Water Pollution in China
By linking provincial pesticide usage reports from several Chinese statistical yearbooks (1998-2011) with the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (1998-2011), this study provides new evidence that pesticides adversely affect health outcomes via drinking water exposure. We follow a difference-in-difference-in-differences framework to compare health outcomes between people who drink surface water and ground water in regions with different intensities of rice pesticide use before and after 2004, when China shifted from taxing agriculture to subsidizing agricultural programs. The results indicate that a 10% increase in rice pesticide use unfavorably alters a key medical disability index (Activities of Daily Living or ADL) by 1% for rural residents 65 and older. This is equivalent to 2.13 and 0.64 million dollars in medical and family care costs, respectively. Further, we provide suggestive evidence of an intergenerational transfer of caring burden by showing pesticide use reduces out-migration of the offspring in affected households. The results are robust to a variety of robustness checks and falsification tests.
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