新冠肺炎大流行背景下欧盟对外贸易战略的地缘政治决定因素

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Argumenta Oeconomica Pub Date : 2022-11-14 DOI:10.24818/oec/2021/30/3.06
Adrian-Ioan Damoc
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2020年初爆发以来,新冠肺炎大流行造成了严重的人道主义、政治和经济动荡。这场危机已经蔓延到整个世界,产生了压倒性的负面影响。在欧盟层面,最初的反应和成员国之间不平衡的经济结果都表明,欧盟根本缺乏政治和经济凝聚力,其外贸网络也存在明显的脆弱性。目前的研究已经探讨了这些主题,以及欧盟领导人的一些公开声明,这些声明揭示了欧盟地缘政治和地缘经济前景的潜在转变。本文的目的是确定指导这种转变的基本原则。本文调查了欧盟的现状,其邻近地区的气候以及最近的行动和趋势,并使用一种被称为关键分析的情报分析技术,试图发现欧盟对外贸易战略背后的核心原因。主要研究结果表明,欧盟目前的气候和对共同地缘政治目标的关注不足,需要采取紧急行动,否则离心力可能会进一步破坏其增长和发展。
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GEOPOLITICAL DETERMINANTS OF THE EUROPEAN UNION’S FOREIGN TRADE STRATEGY IN LIGHT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
The Covid-19 pandemic has generated significant humanitarian, political, and economic turmoil since its onset in early 2020. The crisis has since spread throughout the entire world with an overwhelmingly negative impact. At the European Union level, both the initial reaction and the uneven economic outcome across member states pointed to an underlying lack of political and economic cohesion, as well as stark vulnerabilities in its foreign trade network. Current research has explored these topics as well as on several public statements by the European Union’s leadership revealing a potential shift in the European Union’s geopolitical and geoeconomic outlook. The aim of the present paper is to determine the fundamental principles that guide this shift. The present paper investigates the European Union’s current situation, the climate in its immediate vicinity as well its recent actions and trends and, using an intelligence analysis technique known as the linchpin analysis, seeks to discover the core reasons that underlie the EU’s foreign trade strategy. The main findings reveal that the European Union’s current climate and insufficient attention directed to common geopolitical goals call for urgent actions, lest centrifugal forces threaten to further undermine its growth and development.
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