坦桑尼亚北部地区家庭收入优化的玉米营销模式和储存时间

Jennifer Swai, E. Mbega, A. Mushongi, A. Ndunguru, P. Ndakidemi
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摘要

本研究对坦桑尼亚北部地区的玉米营销模式进行建模,并结合其储存时间进行家庭收入优化。该研究是在马尼亚拉、阿鲁沙和乞力马扎罗州三个地区进行的,根据其玉米产量选择了9个地区,即卡拉图、海、西哈、阿鲁梅鲁、姆布鲁、哈南、巴巴提和莫希农村。采用焦点小组讨论(FGD)、结构化和半结构化问卷作为数据收集工具。建立多元线性回归模型,结合其他统计推断,得出结论。这项研究表明,94%的农民高度依赖中间商销售他们的玉米谷物。玉米营销渠道与家庭收入存在显著相关,p值= 0.04。大多数受访者(70%)的平均储存时间为6个月。坦桑尼亚北部地区玉米收获量与贮藏时间存在显著差异(p值= 0.002)。从多元线性回归模型中发现,家庭收入优化应特别重视;生产成本、储存成本、销售成本和待售玉米数量,参照每月价格趋势。本研究建议为家庭销售和收入优化提供4至7个月的玉米储存时间范围。
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Maize Marketing Model and Store-Time for Household Income Optimizations in Northern Zone of Tanzania
This study modeled maize marketing model in Northern Zone of Tanzania together with its store-time for household income optimization. The study has been conducted in three regions i.e. Manyara, Arusha and Kilimanjaro in the selected nine Districts basing on their maize production volume i.e. Karatu, Hai, Siha, Arumeru, Mbulu, Hanang, Babati and Moshi rural. Focused Group Discussions (FGD), structured and semi-structured questionnaires were employed as data collection tools. Multivariate Linear Regression Models were developed together with some other statistical inferences so as to draw conclusions on the findings. This study reveals that, 94% of farmers depend highly on middlemen for marketing their maize grains. There is a significant relationship between maize marketing channels and household income with P-value = 0.04. Average store-time for majority of the respondents (70%) was found to be six-months. There was significant different (P-value = 0.002) between quantity harvested and store-time of maize in Northern Tanzania. From a multivariate regression linear model, it was found that, for household income optimization special attention should be given much on; production cost, storage cost, marketing cost and quantity of maize to be sold with reference to monthly price trend. This study recommends a range of four to seven month maize store-time for household sale and income optimization.
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