先发优势还是后发优势?it驱动平台市场的案例

MIS Q. Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI:10.25300/MISQ/2020/15273)
Haiyang Feng, Zhengrui Jiang, Minqiang Li, Nan Feng
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引用次数: 6

摘要

信息技术平台在全球经济中发挥着越来越重要的作用。虽然一些成功的平台以先行者的身份进入了各自的市场,但也有一些平台以追随者的身份获得了市场主导地位。本文研究了平台市场中先发优势(FMA)和后发优势(SMA)产生的条件,并推导了它们的市场进入均衡顺序和最优市场进入时机。我们确定的FMA和SMA的前三个决定因素是(1)后发者的质量改进率,(2)需求窗口的长度,(3)需求窗口的市场增长阶段的长度。当两家公司的市场进入顺序是预先确定的,后发者的初始平台质量比先发者高,可以保证SMA,而先发者的初始平台质量比后发者高,则不能保证FMA。在后一种情况下,需要三个决定因素来确定FMA和SMA。当两家公司的市场进入顺序是内生的,如果三个决定因素中的任何一个足够小,那么两家公司都倾向于提前进入的抢先进入就是均衡;否则,在大多数情况下,一个公司倾向于早行动而另一个公司倾向于晚行动的顺序进入就会成为均衡。我们还发现,强大的(同侧)网络效应可以削弱SMA,增加两家公司都倾向于早期进入市场的可能性,而强大的横向网络效应可以增强SMA,增加两家公司都倾向于较晚进入市场的可能性。
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First- or Second-Mover Advantage? The Case of IT-Enabled Platform Markets
Information technology-enabled platforms are playing an increasingly important role in the global economy. While some successful platforms entered their respective markets as pioneers, others were able to achieve market dominance despite starting as followers. This study investigates the conditions under which first-mover advantage (FMA) or second-mover advantage (SMA) occurs in a platform market, and derives their equilibrium order of market entries and optimal market entry timing. The first three determinants of FMA and SMA we identify are (1) quality improvement rate of the second mover, (2) length of demand window, and (3) length of market growth phase of demand window. When the two companies’ order of market entries is predetermined, the second mover having a higher initial platform quality than the first mover guarantees SMA, whereas the first mover having a higher initial platform quality than the second mover does not ensure FMA. In the latter case, the three determinants are needed to determine FMA and SMA. When the two companies’ order of market entries is endogenous, if any of the three determinants is sufficiently small, preemptive entry, in which both companies prefer to move early, is the equilibrium; otherwise, sequential entry, in which one company prefers to move early and the other prefers to move late, becomes the equilibrium in most cases. We also find that strong (same-side) network effects can weaken SMA and increase the possibility that both companies prefer early market entry, whereas strong cross-side network effects may strengthen SMA and increase the possibility that both companies prefer late market entry.
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