农产品市场的产品细分:统一方式还是国家定向调控

IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Cambridge Journal of Regions Economy and Society Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-16
T. Belova, I. N. Chernyshov, R. Gubanov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

农业食品部门的国家保护主义政策产生了模棱两可的结果,例如一方面在农业方面取得了成功,实现了粮食安全门槛,另一方面粮食价格急剧上涨。食糖市场已经满足了国内需求,因此需要扩大出口或限制生产。本文分析了2000-2021年甜菜产业和糖消费市场的发展动态。考虑到进口替代的变化,本研究旨在评估现有国家对糖市场支持措施的有效性。假设在国内产品市场饱和的情况下,国家应该支持消费者而不是生产者。主要研究方法为统计数据分析和仿真建模。选择名义保护系数(NPC)来表示国家支持的变化。评估了持续需求下的国内市场数量。鉴于人均糖消费量保持在39公斤/人,国内消费量为580万吨。考虑到目前的产量(760万吨),食糖的均衡价格估计为37卢布/公斤。计算出的NPC值表明,市场价格转移对食糖生产商起主导作用。因此,有必要转向不相关的支持措施,以加强市场机制的作用。研究结果可用于制定具体的农业政策工具。未来的研究可以对选定的食品市场细分市场进行更深入的结构分析,以确定参与者互动和国家监管措施调整的区域和企业特征。
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Product Segments of the Agri-food Market: Unified Approach or Targeted State Regulation
The state policy of protectionism in the agri-food sector yielded ambiguous results, such as success in agriculture and achievement of food security thresholds on the one hand, and a sharp increase in food prices on the other. Sugar market has satisfied domestic demand and therefore needs either export expansion or production restriction. The article analyses the development dynamics of the sugar beet industry and sugar consumer market in 2000-2021. The study aims to assess the effectiveness of existing state support measures in the sugar market, considering changes in import substitution. It is hypothesised that in case of saturation of the market with domestic products, the state should support consumers rather than producers. Statistical data analysis and simulation modelling were used as the main research methods. Nominal Protection Coefficient (NPC) was chosen to indicate changes in state support. Domestic market volume under constant demand was assessed. Given that the average per capita sugar consumption remains at 39 kg/person, domestic consumption is 5.8 million tonnes. Considering current production volumes (7.6 million tonnes), the equilibrium price of sugar is estimated at 37 roubles/kg. Calculated NPC values show the dominance of market price transfers for sugar producers. Thus, it is necessary to switch to unrelated support measures for strengthening the effect of market mechanisms. The results can be adapted to develop specific agricultural policy instruments. Future research may conduct deeper structural analysis of selected segments of food markets in order to identify regional and corporate characteristics of participant interaction and adjustment of state regulation measures.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
4.50%
发文量
40
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