Analysıs外部因素Affectıng非Performıng Fınance (Npf) Sharıa银行在Indonesıa (Perıod 2009年第一季度-2018年第四季度)

Yahya Muqorrobin, A. Rahman, S. Maharani
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引用次数: 2

摘要

伊斯兰银行的不良贷款比率(NPF)过高是衡量伊斯兰银行健全性的指标之一,因此值得关注。造成这种情况的因素可能是双向的,首先是伊斯兰银行业本身的内部因素;审慎引导融资的原则;第二,外部因素。经济数据显示,全球经济增长放缓成为金融市场的负面情绪;其后果之一是削弱了客户履行其义务的能力,这将增加问题融资的比率。本研究的目的是分析和确定宏观变量国内生产总值(GDP)、汇率和通货膨胀与印尼伊斯兰教银行NPF之间的关系,2009年第一季度至2018年第四季度。本研究是一项定量研究,采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)的数据分析方法,分析自变量对因变量长期和短期的关系。结果表明,无论从长期还是短期来看,GDP对国民生产总值都具有显著的负向影响。相比之下,汇率和通货膨胀在短期内对NPF有显著的正向影响,但在长期内没有显著的影响。
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Analysıs Of External Factors Affectıng Non Performıng Fınance (Npf) Sharıa Banks In Indonesıa (Perıod 2009 Q1-2018 Q4)
The high ratio of problematic financing or Non-Performing Finance (NPF) at Islamic banks is a phenomenon that needs attention because it is one indicator to assess the soundness of Islamic banks. The causative factors could be two-way, first, the internal factors in Islamic banking itself; the principle of prudence in channeling financing; and second, external factors. Economic data indicated a slowdown in global economic growth became a negative sentiment on the financial markets; one of the consequences was the weakening of the customer ability to meet their obligations would be increasing the ratio of problem financing (NPF). The purpose of this study is to analyze and identify the relationship between macro variables Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate, and inflation with NPF at Sharia Banks in Indonesia 2009: Q1 to 2018: Q4. This research is a quantitative study with the data analysis method used Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) to analyze the relationship between independent variables on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The result is that GDP has a negative and significant effect on NPF both in the long term and short term. In comparison, the exchange rate and inflation have a positive and significant effect on the NPF in the short run but have no significant effect in the long run.
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