东-横取河-道顿堀河在新蓄洪管道“平成-大肠菌群”建成后大肠菌群数量未减少的原因研究

Akira Oshima, M. Kitano
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摘要

从2015年4月开始,流经大阪市中心的东横取河、道顿堀河的污水溢出物被储存在“平成河大肠菌群”的雨水储存管道中,但大肠菌群的数量并没有明显减少。如果管道正在工作,下游点的大肠菌群数量应取决于上游点的数量、流动时间和水温。因此,通过实验确定了大肠菌群的衰变速率,并将下游点大肠菌群的预测数量与蒙特卡罗方法得到的预测值进行了比较。预测值往往被低估,因为得到的衰变率没有反映阳光和其他因素的影响。然而,无论天气如何,完井后的预期值与预测值之间的差异都很接近,这表明管柱仍在正常工作。据认为,由于上游负荷的增加抵消了管道的减少作用,两条河流中大肠菌群的数量并没有下降。
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A Study of Why the Number of Coliform Bacteria Did Not Decrease in Higashi-Yokobori River—Dotonbori River Despite the Completion of the New Stormwater Storage Pipe “Heisei no Taiko Gesui”
Sewer stormwater overflow, one of the causes of water pollution in Higashi-Yokobori River–Dotonbori River that flow through central Osaka, has been stored in a rainwater storage pipe called “ Heisei no Taiko Gesui ” since April 2015, but the number of coliform bacteria in both rivers did not decrease significantly. If the pipe is working, the number of coliform bacteria at a downstream point should depend on the number at the upstream point, flowing time, and water temperature. Thus, the decay rates of coliform bacteria were determined experimentally, and the predicted numbers of coliform bacteria at the downstream point were compared with the expected values obtained by the Monte Carlo method. The predicted values tended to be underestimated because the obtained decay rates did not reflect the effects of sunlight and other factors. However, the differences between the expected and predicted values after completion become close regardless of the weather, indicating that the pipe is functioning. It was considered that the number of coliform bacteria has not declined in both rivers because the increased load from the upstream cancelled the reduction effect of the pipe.
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