利用公民科学填补赤木流域城市化洪水模型的数据空白

Abel Negussie Alemu , Alemseged Tamiru Haile , Andrew B. Carr , Mark A. Trigg , Getahun Kebede Mengistie , Claire L. Walsh
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引用次数: 1

摘要

识别和理解公民科学对改善洪水模型的价值对洪水风险管理具有重要意义。然而,探索公民科学数据价值的研究很少,大多数研究都集中在评估数据的准确性上。本研究阐明了公民科学数据在洪水模拟研究中的附加价值。在洪水期间,公民科学家在埃塞俄比亚亚的斯亚贝巴大阿卡基河主要河段的选定地点测量了河流水位。它们还提供了资料来估计未计量支流的水量。获取的数据被用于建立一维(1D) HECRAS洪水模型,并评估模型对输入和参数的敏感性。不同的下游边界条件导致了模拟水位的显著差异(在下游边界站点上游3.5 km处)。修正数字高程模型并在模型模拟中考虑河流支流流量,导致观测阶段低估0.08 m。敏感性分析还表明,河道的曼宁粗糙度值比河漫滩的曼宁粗糙度值更敏感。最后,本研究确定了未来洪水建模数据收集的优先事项(例如,支流的流量数据)。如果没有公民科学数据,研究区洪水模型是无法实现的。
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Filling data gaps using citizen science for flood modeling in urbanized catchment of Akaki

Identifying and understanding the value of citizen science to improve flood modeling is of importance to flood risk management. However, there are few studies that explore the value of citizen science data, with most studies focusing on evaluating the accuracy of the data. This research articulates the added value of citizen science data in flood modeling studies. During flood events, citizen scientists measured river water levels at selected sites along a main reach of the Big Akaki River in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. They also provided information to estimate water discharge of the ungauged tributaries. The data acquired was used to force a one-dimensional (1D) HECRAS flood model, and to evaluate the model's sensitivity to inputs and parameters. Varying the downstream boundary condition caused a significant difference in the simulated water level (up to 3.5 ​km upstream of the downstream boundary site). Correcting the Digital Elevation Model and consideration of river tributary flows in the model simulation resulted in an underestimation of the observed stage by 0.08 ​m. The sensitivity analysis also showed that results were more sensitive to the Manning roughness values of the channel than that of the floodplain. Finally, this study identifies future flood modeling data collection priorities (e.g. flow data for the tributary). The flood modeling of the study area would not have been realized without the citizen science data.

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