基于实验室结果的冠状病毒病2019与流感诊断模型的建立

Dongyang Xing, S. Tian, Yukun Chen, Jinmei Wang, Xuejuan Sun, Shanji Li, Jiancheng Xu
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摘要

背景2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)和甲型流感是由病毒感染引起的常见疾病。两种疾病的临床症状和传播途径相似。本研究建立了一个实验室结果模型,可以很好地区分COVID-19和甲型流感。方法本研究纳入56例新冠肺炎患者和54例甲型流感患者。实验室结果、流行病学特征和人口统计数据均来自电子病历数据库。采用弹性网络模型和逐步逻辑回归模型,确定了能够区分COVID-19和甲型流感的指标。结果用字母组合图表示了最终的判别模型。新冠肺炎患者的大部分血液学和生化指标与甲型流感患者有显著差异。在最后的模型中,选择白蛋白/球蛋白、总胆红素和红细胞比体积作为预测因子。通过外部验证集,该模型在区分COVID-19和甲型流感方面具有令人满意的预测性能(AUC=0.844)。ConclusionThe基于实验室结果的诊断模型的建立对COVID-19和甲型流感的鉴别具有重要意义。
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Establishment of a Diagnostic Model to Distinguish Coronavirus Disease 2019 From Influenza a Based on Laboratory Findings
BackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and Influenza A are common disease caused by viral infection. The clinical symptoms and transmission routes of the two diseases are similar. This study established a model of laboratory findings to distinguish COVID-19 from influenza A perfectly. MethodsIn this study, 56 COVID-19 patients and 54 influenza A patients were included. Laboratory findings, epidemiological characteristics and demographic data were obtained from electronic medical record databases. Elastic network models, followed by a stepwise logistic regression model were implemented to identify indicators capable of discriminating COVID-19 and influenza A. ResultsA monogram is diagramed to show the resulting discriminative model. The majority of hematological and biochemical parameters in COVID-19 patients were significantly different from those in influenza A patients. In the final model, albumin/globulin, total bilirubin and erythrocyte specific volume were selected as predictors. This model has been demonstrated to have a satisfactory predictive performance to discriminate between COVID-19 and influenza A (AUC=0.844) using an external validation set. ConclusionThe establishment of a diagnostic model on laboratory findings is of great significance for the identification of COVID-19 and influenza A.
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