{"title":"学习模型中的理性预期趋同:一个注意事项","authors":"YiLi Chien, In-Koo Cho, B. Ravikumar","doi":"10.20955/r.103.351-65","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper illustrates a challenge in analyzing the learning algorithms resulting in second-order difference equations. We show in a simple monetary model that the learning dynamics do not converge to the rational expectations monetary steady state. We then show that to guarantee convergence, the gain parameter used in the learning rule has to be restricted based on economic fundamentals in the monetary model.","PeriodicalId":51713,"journal":{"name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9000,"publicationDate":"2020-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Convergence to Rational Expectations in Learning Models: A Note of Caution\",\"authors\":\"YiLi Chien, In-Koo Cho, B. Ravikumar\",\"doi\":\"10.20955/r.103.351-65\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper illustrates a challenge in analyzing the learning algorithms resulting in second-order difference equations. We show in a simple monetary model that the learning dynamics do not converge to the rational expectations monetary steady state. We then show that to guarantee convergence, the gain parameter used in the learning rule has to be restricted based on economic fundamentals in the monetary model.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51713,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review\",\"volume\":\"25 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-08-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20955/r.103.351-65\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20955/r.103.351-65","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Convergence to Rational Expectations in Learning Models: A Note of Caution
This paper illustrates a challenge in analyzing the learning algorithms resulting in second-order difference equations. We show in a simple monetary model that the learning dynamics do not converge to the rational expectations monetary steady state. We then show that to guarantee convergence, the gain parameter used in the learning rule has to be restricted based on economic fundamentals in the monetary model.