基于随机前沿分析的2019年巴格达省小麦粉生产函数估计

M. A. Ahmed
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摘要

该研究收集了53家面粉厂的样本,旨在估计2019年巴格达省面粉厂的技术效率,并估计小麦面粉生产的随机前沿生产函数和无效率函数。采用边界4.1程序,采用随机边界法分两个周期估计该函数。结果表明,在研究样本中,工时参数的符号为正,解释了变量对面粉产量的正性,弹性值在生产第二阶段表明,但在效率模型中其影响不显著。可变资本量参数的符号为负,且在1%的显著水平上。它表明在投入的数量中存在浪费,并表明在生产的第三阶段的弹性值。生小麦变量的参数符号为正,且低于1%的显著水平。弹性值表明它处于生产阶段的第一阶段。对于无效率模型,经验是唯一影响模型的变量,其结果是经验较少的生产者在10%水平下对无效率模型有显著影响。至于估计技术效率,所有的样品厂都偏离了最佳生产尺寸。该研究建议有必要使磨粉机现代化,并分配更多数量的生小麦,因为第二个时期见证了样品磨粉机的高技术效率
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ESTIMATION OF WHEAT FLOUR PRODUCTION FUNCTION IN A STOCHASTIC FRONTIER ANALYSIS FOR THE YEAR 2019 BAGHDAD GOVERNORATE CASE STUDY
The study aimed to estimate a stochastic frontier production function and the inefficiency function for the production of wheat flour, in addition to estimating the technical efficiency of flour mills in Baghdad Governorate for the year 2019, as a sample of 53 mills was collected. The function was estimated in two periods according to a stochastic frontier method using the frontier 4.1 program. The results showed that the sign of the working hours parameter appeared positive and explained the positivity of the variable on the quantity of flour production in the study sample, and the value of elasticity indicates in the second stage of production stages, but its effect is not significant in the efficiency model. As for the parameter of the variable capital quantities, its sign appeared negative and was at a significant level of 1%. It indicates the presence of waste in the quantity of the input and indicates the value of elasticity in the third stage of production. As for the variable quantities of raw wheat, its parameter sign is positive and below a significant level of 1%. The elasticity value indicates that it is in the first stage of the production stages. As for the inefficiency model, the experience was the only variable that affected the model, the result of which was that the producers with little experience had a significant impact on the inefficiency model at the 10% level. As for estimating the technical efficiency, all sample mills moved away from achieving the optimum size of production. The study recommended the necessity of modernizing milling machines and allocating additional quantities of raw wheat, because the second period witnessed high levels of technical efficiency for sample mills
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