混沌时间序列分析的R包

R J. Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.32614/rj-2021-036
Julio E. Sandubete, L. Escot
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引用次数: 3

摘要

混沌理论被誉为一场思想革命,越来越受到各学科科学家的关注。混沌系统是一种非线性的确定性动力系统,它的行为可能像一种不稳定的、明显随机的运动。混沌理论中的一个相关领域是从经验时间序列数据中检测混沌行为。混沌的一个主要特征是众所周知的初值敏感性。与检验混沌假设有关的方法和技术试图量化估计所谓李雅普诺夫指数的初值敏感性。本文介绍了从时间序列数据中估计李雅普诺夫指数的主要方法。同时,我们介绍了DChaos库。R用户可以从时间序列数据中计算延迟坐标嵌入向量,从延迟坐标嵌入向量中估计出最适合的神经网络模型,分析计算所选神经网络模型的偏导数。他们还可以通过两种不同的程序和四种分块子抽样方法,从先前计算的偏导数中获得Lyapunov指数的神经网络估计量。综上所述,DChaos包允许R用户对混沌假设进行鲁棒性测试,以了解时间序列背后的数据生成过程是否表现为混沌。通过示例说明了包的功能。
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DChaos: An R Package for Chaotic Time Series Analysis
Chaos theory has been hailed as a revolution of thoughts and attracting ever-increasing attention of many scientists from diverse disciplines. Chaotic systems are non-linear deterministic dynamic systems which can behave like an erratic and apparently random motion. A relevant field inside chaos theory is the detection of chaotic behavior from empirical time-series data. One of the main features of chaos is the well-known initial-value sensitivity property. Methods and techniques related to testing the hypothesis of chaos try to quantify the initial-value sensitive property estimating the so-called Lyapunov exponents. This paper describes the main estimation methods of the Lyapunov exponent from time series data. At the same time, we present the DChaos library. R users may compute the delayed-coordinate embedding vector from time series data, estimates the best-fitted neural net model from the delayed-coordinate embedding vectors, calculates analytically the partial derivatives from the chosen neural nets model. They can also obtain the neural net estimator of the Lyapunov exponent from the partial derivatives computed previously by two different procedures and four ways of subsampling by blocks. To sum up, the DChaos package allows the R users to test robustly the hypothesis of chaos in order to know if the data-generating process behind time series behaves chaotically or not. The package’s functionality is illustrated by examples.
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