自我报告房屋估值准确性背后的驱动因素:来自新兴经济体的证据

IF 1.3 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of European Real Estate Research Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI:10.1108/jerer-02-2022-0004
M. Tomal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在探讨华沙(波兰)住房市场自我报告房屋估值准确性背后的驱动因素。为了实现研究目标,首先,将业主主观估计的住宅物业价值的独特数据与市场合理的数据进行比较。后者是使用地理加权回归计算的,这允许考虑到空间异质性买家的住房偏好。然后使用有序logit模型来确定影响高估或低估偏差发生概率的因素。调查结果研究结果显示,平均而言,房主高估自己的房产只有1.94%,而准确估计自己房产的受访者比例在20%到68%之间,这取决于所采用的误差幅度的大小。房产的物理属性、地理位置和邻里属性以及受访者的个人特征是影响估价偏差变化的驱动因素,其中年龄和就业状况起着关键作用。独创性/价值与之前的研究相比,这是第一次研究中欧和东欧国家自我报告的房屋估值准确性背后的驱动因素。此外,这项工作是第一个考虑异质住房偏好时,计算客观财产价值。
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Drivers behind the accuracy of self-reported home valuations: evidence from an emerging economy
PurposeThis paper aims to explore the drivers behind the accuracy of self-reported home valuations in the Warsaw (Poland) housing market.Design/methodology/approachIn order to achieve the research goal, firstly, unique data on subjective residential property values estimated by their owners were compared with market-justified ones. The latter was calculated using geographically weighted regression, which allowed for taking into account spatially heterogeneous buyers' housing preferences. An ordered logit model was then used to identify the factors influencing the probability of the occurrence of bias towards over or undervaluation.FindingsThe results of the study revealed that, on average, homeowners overvalued their properties by only 1.94%, and the fraction of interviewees estimating their properties accurately ranges from 20% to 68%, depending on the size of the margin of error adopted. The drivers of the valuation bias variation were the physical, locational and neighbourhood attributes of the property as well as the personal characteristics of the respondents, for which their age and employment situation played a key role.Originality/valueIn contrast to previous studies, this is the first to examine drivers behind the accuracy of self-reported home valuations in a Central and Eastern Europe country. In addition, this work is the first to consider heterogeneous housing preferences when calculating objective property values.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
7.70%
发文量
18
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