{"title":"具有威布尔分布的随机审查比例风险模型的贝叶斯参考分析","authors":"M. Ajmal, M. Danish, Ayesha Tahira","doi":"10.14736/kyb-2022-1-0025","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This article deals with the objective Bayesian analysis of random censorship model with informative censoring using Weibull distribution. The objective Bayesian analysis has a long history from Bayes and Laplace through Jeffreys and is reaching the level of sophistication gradually. The reference prior method of Bernardo is a nice attempt in this direction. The reference prior method is based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the prior and the corresponding posterior distribution and easy to implement when the information matrix exists in closed-form. We apply this method to Weibull random censorship model and compare it with Jeffreys and maximum likelihood methods. It is observed that the closed-form expressions for the Bayes estimators are not possible; we use importance sampling technique to obtain the approximate Bayes estimates. The behaviour of maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators is observed via extensive numerical simulation. The proposed methodology is used for the analysis of a real-life data for illustration and appropriateness of the model is tested by Henze goodness-of-fit test.","PeriodicalId":49928,"journal":{"name":"Kybernetika","volume":"101 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2022-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bayesian reference analysis for proportional hazards model of random censorship with Weibull distribution\",\"authors\":\"M. Ajmal, M. Danish, Ayesha Tahira\",\"doi\":\"10.14736/kyb-2022-1-0025\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This article deals with the objective Bayesian analysis of random censorship model with informative censoring using Weibull distribution. The objective Bayesian analysis has a long history from Bayes and Laplace through Jeffreys and is reaching the level of sophistication gradually. The reference prior method of Bernardo is a nice attempt in this direction. The reference prior method is based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the prior and the corresponding posterior distribution and easy to implement when the information matrix exists in closed-form. We apply this method to Weibull random censorship model and compare it with Jeffreys and maximum likelihood methods. It is observed that the closed-form expressions for the Bayes estimators are not possible; we use importance sampling technique to obtain the approximate Bayes estimates. The behaviour of maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators is observed via extensive numerical simulation. The proposed methodology is used for the analysis of a real-life data for illustration and appropriateness of the model is tested by Henze goodness-of-fit test.\",\"PeriodicalId\":49928,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Kybernetika\",\"volume\":\"101 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-04-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Kybernetika\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.14736/kyb-2022-1-0025\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, CYBERNETICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Kybernetika","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.14736/kyb-2022-1-0025","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, CYBERNETICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Bayesian reference analysis for proportional hazards model of random censorship with Weibull distribution
This article deals with the objective Bayesian analysis of random censorship model with informative censoring using Weibull distribution. The objective Bayesian analysis has a long history from Bayes and Laplace through Jeffreys and is reaching the level of sophistication gradually. The reference prior method of Bernardo is a nice attempt in this direction. The reference prior method is based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the prior and the corresponding posterior distribution and easy to implement when the information matrix exists in closed-form. We apply this method to Weibull random censorship model and compare it with Jeffreys and maximum likelihood methods. It is observed that the closed-form expressions for the Bayes estimators are not possible; we use importance sampling technique to obtain the approximate Bayes estimates. The behaviour of maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators is observed via extensive numerical simulation. The proposed methodology is used for the analysis of a real-life data for illustration and appropriateness of the model is tested by Henze goodness-of-fit test.
期刊介绍:
Kybernetika is the bi-monthly international journal dedicated for rapid publication of high-quality, peer-reviewed research articles in fields covered by its title. The journal is published by Nakladatelství Academia, Centre of Administration and Operations of the Czech Academy of Sciences for the Institute of Information Theory and Automation of The Czech Academy of Sciences.
Kybernetika traditionally publishes research results in the fields of Control Sciences, Information Sciences, Statistical Decision Making, Applied Probability Theory, Random Processes, Operations Research, Fuzziness and Uncertainty Theories, as well as in the topics closely related to the above fields.