具有威布尔分布的随机审查比例风险模型的贝叶斯参考分析

IF 0.9 4区 计算机科学 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, CYBERNETICS Kybernetika Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.14736/kyb-2022-1-0025
M. Ajmal, M. Danish, Ayesha Tahira
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用威布尔分布对随机审查模型进行了客观的贝叶斯分析。客观贝叶斯分析从贝叶斯、拉普拉斯到杰弗里斯,历史悠久,并逐渐达到成熟的程度。Bernardo的参考先验方法在这个方向上是一个很好的尝试。参考先验方法基于先验与相应的后验分布之间的Kullback-Leibler散度,当信息矩阵以封闭形式存在时易于实现。将该方法应用于Weibull随机审查模型,并与Jeffreys和极大似然方法进行了比较。我们观察到贝叶斯估计量的闭型表达式是不可能的;我们使用重要抽样技术来获得近似的贝叶斯估计。通过广泛的数值模拟观察了极大似然估计量和贝叶斯估计量的行为。提出的方法用于分析现实生活中的数据进行说明,并通过亨泽拟合优度检验模型的适用性。
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Bayesian reference analysis for proportional hazards model of random censorship with Weibull distribution
This article deals with the objective Bayesian analysis of random censorship model with informative censoring using Weibull distribution. The objective Bayesian analysis has a long history from Bayes and Laplace through Jeffreys and is reaching the level of sophistication gradually. The reference prior method of Bernardo is a nice attempt in this direction. The reference prior method is based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the prior and the corresponding posterior distribution and easy to implement when the information matrix exists in closed-form. We apply this method to Weibull random censorship model and compare it with Jeffreys and maximum likelihood methods. It is observed that the closed-form expressions for the Bayes estimators are not possible; we use importance sampling technique to obtain the approximate Bayes estimates. The behaviour of maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators is observed via extensive numerical simulation. The proposed methodology is used for the analysis of a real-life data for illustration and appropriateness of the model is tested by Henze goodness-of-fit test.
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来源期刊
Kybernetika
Kybernetika 工程技术-计算机:控制论
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
20.00%
发文量
38
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Kybernetika is the bi-monthly international journal dedicated for rapid publication of high-quality, peer-reviewed research articles in fields covered by its title. The journal is published by Nakladatelství Academia, Centre of Administration and Operations of the Czech Academy of Sciences for the Institute of Information Theory and Automation of The Czech Academy of Sciences. Kybernetika traditionally publishes research results in the fields of Control Sciences, Information Sciences, Statistical Decision Making, Applied Probability Theory, Random Processes, Operations Research, Fuzziness and Uncertainty Theories, as well as in the topics closely related to the above fields.
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