具有长期依赖死亡率的时间一致均值方差再保险投资问题

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Scandinavian Actuarial Journal Pub Date : 2021-12-13 DOI:10.1080/03461238.2022.2089050
Ling Wang, Mei Choi Chiu, H. Y. Wong
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文研究了寿险公司面临的时间一致均值方差再保险投资问题。受最近发现死亡率表现出长期依赖(LRD)的启发,我们研究了LRD对国际扶轮策略的影响。我们采用Wang等[(2021)]提出的Volterra死亡率模型。Volterra死亡率模型:具有长期依赖的精算估值和风险管理。将LRD纳入死亡率过程,并使用随机死亡率表示强度的复合泊松过程来描述保险索赔。在开环均衡均值方差准则下,我们导出了显式均衡RI控制,并研究了这些控制在恒定和状态相关的风险厌恶情况下的唯一性。我们同时解决了由无界的非马尔可夫参数和保险公司财富过程中的突然增加所引起的困难。虽然现有文献表明长期存续率对长寿对冲有显著影响,但我们发现再保险是一种对长期存续率具有鲁棒性的风险管理策略。
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Time-consistent mean-variance reinsurance-investment problem with long-range dependent mortality rate
This paper investigates the time-consistent mean-variance reinsurance-investment (RI) problem faced by life insurers. Inspired by recent findings that mortality rates exhibit long-range dependence (LRD), we examine the effect of LRD on RI strategies. We adopt the Volterra mortality model proposed in Wang et al. [(2021). Volterra mortality model: actuarial valuation and risk management with long-range dependence. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 96, 1–14] to incorporate LRD into the mortality rate process and describe insurance claims using a compound Poisson process with intensity represented by the stochastic mortality rate. Under the open-loop equilibrium mean-variance criterion, we derive explicit equilibrium RI controls and study the uniqueness of these controls in cases of constant and state-dependent risk aversion. We simultaneously resolve difficulties arising from unbounded non-Markovian parameters and sudden increases in the insurer's wealth process. While the exiting literature suggests that LRD has a significant effect on longevity hedging, we find that reinsurance is a risk management strategy that is robust to LRD.
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来源期刊
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
38
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal is a journal for actuarial sciences that deals, in theory and application, with mathematical methods for insurance and related matters. The bounds of actuarial mathematics are determined by the area of application rather than by uniformity of methods and techniques. Therefore, a paper of interest to Scandinavian Actuarial Journal may have its theoretical basis in probability theory, statistics, operations research, numerical analysis, computer science, demography, mathematical economics, or any other area of applied mathematics; the main criterion is that the paper should be of specific relevance to actuarial applications.
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