通过引导类型进行合理的概率推断

Di Wang, Jan Hoffmann, T. Reps
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引用次数: 6

摘要

概率编程语言旨在描述和自动化贝叶斯建模和推理。现代语言支持可编程推理,它允许用户通过结合引导程序来定制推理算法,以提高推理性能。为了使贝叶斯推理可靠,引导程序必须与模型程序兼容。模型-指南兼容性的一个普遍但具有挑战性的条件是绝对连续性,这要求模型和指南程序定义具有相同支持的概率分布。本文提出了一种新的概率编程语言,它保证了绝对连续性,并具有分支和递归等通用编程结构。模型和引导程序被实现为相互通信的协程,以同步它们在执行期间采样的随机变量集。新的指南类型描述和强制协程之间的通信协议。如果模型和指南使用相同的协议是类型良好的,那么它们就保证具有绝对的连续性。一个有效的算法可以从代码中推断出指南类型,这样用户就不必指定类型。新的编程语言是用一个实现来评估的,这个实现包括类型推断算法和一个针对Pyro的原型编译器。实验表明,我们的语言能够表达具有非平凡控制流和递归的各种概率模型,并且基于协程的计算在实际贝叶斯推理中不会引入显着的开销。
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Sound probabilistic inference via guide types
Probabilistic programming languages aim to describe and automate Bayesian modeling and inference. Modern languages support programmable inference, which allows users to customize inference algorithms by incorporating guide programs to improve inference performance. For Bayesian inference to be sound, guide programs must be compatible with model programs. One pervasive but challenging condition for model-guide compatibility is absolute continuity, which requires that the model and guide programs define probability distributions with the same support. This paper presents a new probabilistic programming language that guarantees absolute continuity, and features general programming constructs, such as branching and recursion. Model and guide programs are implemented as coroutines that communicate with each other to synchronize the set of random variables they sample during their execution. Novel guide types describe and enforce communication protocols between coroutines. If the model and guide are well-typed using the same protocol, then they are guaranteed to enjoy absolute continuity. An efficient algorithm infers guide types from code so that users do not have to specify the types. The new programming language is evaluated with an implementation that includes the type-inference algorithm and a prototype compiler that targets Pyro. Experiments show that our language is capable of expressing a variety of probabilistic models with nontrivial control flow and recursion, and that the coroutine-based computation does not introduce significant overhead in actual Bayesian inference.
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