基于动态定价策略的微电网能源管理研究

M. Severini, S. Squartini, Marco Fagiani, F. Piazza
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引用次数: 9

摘要

虽然智能电网被认为是克服当前配电网局限性的技术,但其过渡需要很长时间。动态定价是需求响应的一种直接实施,可以提供操纵电网负荷的手段,从而延长当前技术的预期寿命。然而,要将动态定价方案整合到需求侧可用的拥挤技术池中,必须有一个适当的能源管理器,并有价格概况预测器的支持。虽然能源管理和价格预测是反复出现的主题,但在文献中,它们已分别处理。另一方面,在这项工作中,目的是调查能源管理人员在预测过程中产生的数据不确定性存在的情况下能够表现得多好。出于目的,能源和资源管理器已在当前手稿中进行了修订和扩展。最后,它已经补充了价格预测技术,基于极限学习机范式。与最常见的预测方法相比,所提出的预测器已被证明具有更好的性能和更强的可靠性。能源管理器也证明了住宅环境的能源效率可以得到显著提高。然而,为了达到理论上的最佳效果,可能需要为此目的量身定制的预测技术。
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Energy management with the support of dynamic pricing strategies in real micro-grid scenarios
Although smart grids are regarded as the technology to overcome the limits of nowadays power distribution grids, the transition will require much time. Dynamic pricing, a straightforward implementation of demand response, may provide the means to manipulate the grid load thus extending the life expectancy of current technology. However, to integrate a dynamic pricing scheme in the crowded pool of technologies, available at demand side, a proper energy manager with the support of a pricing profile forecaster is mandatory. Although energy management and price forecasting are recurrent topics, in literature they have been addressed separately. On the other hand, in this work, the aim is to investigate how well an energy manager is able to perform in presence of data uncertainty originating from the forecasting process. On purpose, an energy and resource manager has been revised and extended in the current manuscript. Finally, it has been complemented with a price forecasting technique, based on the Extreme Learning Machine paradigm. The proposed forecaster has proven to be better performing and more robust, with respect to the most common forecasting approaches. The energy manager, as well, has proven that the energy efficiency of the residential environment can be improved significantly. Nonetheless, to achieve the theoretical optimum, forecasting techniques tailored for that purpose may be required.
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