明天多工作:解决项目管理中的当前偏见

Oper. Res. Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI:10.1287/opre.2022.2379
Yun Shi, Nicholas G. Hall, Xiangyu Cui
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引用次数: 1

摘要

项目管理占世界经济活动的30%,每年价值27万亿美元。然而,尽管半个世纪的研究和数以百万计的项目经理的培训,许多项目交付延迟。这通常归因于帕金森定律,即扩大工作以填补可用时间。然而,在“明天工作更多:解决项目管理中的当前偏差”中,Shi、Hall和Cui确定并证明了时间不一致行为的另一种解释,即当前偏差。在当前偏见下,决策者更看重眼前的成本和回报,而不是未来的。作者认为,这种行为问题是导致项目工作者拖延和整个项目延迟的原因。借鉴流行的员工储蓄计划的概念,他们开发了一种激励计划,减轻了目前的偏见,并显著提高了项目绩效,通过准时频率和预期的项目延迟来衡量。
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Work More Tomorrow: Resolving Present Bias in Project Management
Explaining and Resolving Delays in Projects Project management is responsible for 30% of the world’s economic activity, with an annual value of $27 trillion. Yet, despite half a century of research and the training of millions of project managers, many projects are delivered late. This is typically attributed to Parkinson’s Law, meaning the expansion of work to fill available time. However, in “Work More Tomorrow: Resolving Present Bias in Project Management,” Shi, Hall, and Cui identify and demonstrate the alternative explanation of time-inconsistent behavior, that is, present bias. Under present bias, a decision maker values immediate costs and rewards more than future ones. The authors show that this behavioral issue is responsible for procrastination by project workers and overall project delay. Borrowing concepts from popular employee savings schemes, they develop an incentive scheme that mitigates present bias and significantly enhances project performance, as measured by on-time frequency and expected project tardiness.
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