为俄亥俄州制定基于影响的干旱阈值

IF 3.1 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Journal of Hydrometeorology Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI:10.1175/jhm-d-22-0054.1
Ning Zhang, Zhiying Li, S. Quiring
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引用次数: 1

摘要

干旱监测对于管理农业和水资源以及启动国家应急计划和减灾活动至关重要。固定的阈值作为美国干旱监测(USDM)的指导方针。但是,固定的干旱阈值(即在所有季节和气候区域使用相同的阈值)可能不能适当地反映当地的条件和影响。因此,本研究开发了适合于俄亥俄州干旱监测的基于影响的干旱阈值。我们研究了俄亥俄州目前使用的四种干旱指数:标准化降水指数(SPI)、标准化降水-蒸散指数(SPEI)、帕尔默z指数和帕尔默水文干旱指数(PHDI)。河流流量和玉米产量分别作为水文和农业干旱影响的指标。我们的研究结果表明,固定阈值倾向于表明俄亥俄州较温和的干旱条件,而基于影响的干旱阈值对异常干旱(D4)条件更敏感。基于影响的干旱阈值的D4面积百分比与玉米产量和河流流量的相关性更强。本研究提供了一种方法,用于开发基于当地影响的干旱阈值,该阈值可应用于存在长期干旱影响记录的其他区域,以提供具有区域代表性的条件描述并改善干旱监测。
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Developing Impacts-Based Drought Thresholds for Ohio
Drought monitoring is critical for managing agriculture and water resources and for triggering state emergency response plans and hazard mitigation activities. Fixed thresholds serve as guidelines for the United States Drought Monitor (USDM). However, fixed drought thresholds (i.e., using the same threshold in all seasons and climate regions) may not properly reflect local conditions and impacts. Therefore, this study develops impacts-based drought thresholds that are appropriate for drought monitoring in Ohio. We examined four drought indices that are currently used by the State of Ohio: Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Palmer’s Z-Index and Palmer Hydrological Drought Index (PHDI). Streamflow and corn yield are used as indicators of hydrological and agricultural drought impacts, respectively. Our results show that fixed thresholds tend to indicate milder drought conditions in Ohio, while the proposed impacts-based drought thresholds are more sensitive to exceptional drought (D4) conditions. The area percentage of D4 based on impacts-based drought thresholds is more strongly correlated with corn yield and streamflow. This study provides a methodology for developing local impacts-based drought thresholds that can be applied to other regions where long-term drought impact records exist to provide regionally representative depictions of conditions and improve drought monitoring.
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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrometeorology
Journal of Hydrometeorology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
5.30%
发文量
116
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Hydrometeorology (JHM) (ISSN: 1525-755X; eISSN: 1525-7541) publishes research on modeling, observing, and forecasting processes related to fluxes and storage of water and energy, including interactions with the boundary layer and lower atmosphere, and processes related to precipitation, radiation, and other meteorological inputs.
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