基于shuffle青蛙跳跃算法的改进支持向量机在风电-光伏电池功率预测中的应用

Wei Li, Jin Pang, Q. Niu, Weijia Zhang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

制定合理、准确的风-光-电池发电系统功率预测策略,可以提高新能源入网的安全性和稳定性。提出了一种基于shuffle frog跳跃算法的改进支持向量机模型,用于风电-光伏发电系统中风电和光伏发电的预测。以正常运行的历史数据为输入,采用洗阵青蛙跳跃算法(SFLA)对影响支持向量机回归性能的参数进行优化并建立模型,然后对模型进行训练并预测发电量。最后通过仿真验证了该模型具有较好的优化能力,模型具有较高的精度,能够有效地预测风-光伏-电池发电系统中的风力和光伏功率。
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Application of Improved Support Vector Machine Based on Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm in Wind-Photovoltaic-Battery Power Forecasting
Formulating reasonable and accurate wind-photovoltaic-battery generation system power forecasting strategy can improve the security and stability of new energy access to the grid. An improved support vector machine model based on shuffled frog leaping algorithm is proposed to forecast wind power and photovoltaic power in wind-photovoltaic-battery generation system. Based on the historical data of normal operation as input, using the shuffled frog leaping algorithm (SFLA) to optimize the parameters which influences the regression performance of support vector machine and establish the model, then training the model and forecasting the generating power. Finally, the simulation proves that SFLA has better optimization ability, the model has higher accuracy which can effectively forecast wind and photovoltaic power in wind-photovoltaic-battery generation system.
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