Pre-ablation interatrial conduction delay or block predicts atrial fibrillation recurrence after ablation among obese patients

Type of funding sources: None. Obesity is associated with greater risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence post-ablation and higher incidence of conduction delay compared to non-obese patients. Pre-ablation P-wave duration (PWD) and morphology (PWM) indicating interatrial delay are easily assessed in the clinic and may predict AF recurrence post-ablation in these patients. Evaluate the predictive value of PWD and PWM on AF recurrence post-ablation in obese patients. Pre-ablation PWD and PWM (negative P-wave in lead II or III) were analyzed on consecutive patients with BMI ≥30 kg/m2 who underwent initial AF ablation from 2012–19. The primary outcome was recurrent AF after a 3-month post-ablation blanking period. Multivariate analysis adjusted for baseline characteristics was performed. For 205 patients (61.0±9.5 years old, 39.0% female), mean BMI was 36.9±5.7 kg/m2 and 71.7% had persistent AF pre-ablation. Recurrent AF post-ablation occurred in 115 (56.1%) during a median follow up of 491 (270, 1001) days. PWD >130 ms was significantly associated with higher AF recurrence (AHR of 1.62, 95%CI 1.04-2.57, p=0.03) after adjusting for age, persistent AF and left atrial volume index (LAVI). In a subgroup with LAVI <42 mL/m2 (n=112), PWD >130 ms and negative P-waves in lead II or III were independently associated with increased risk of recurrent AF (AHR 2.06, 95%CI 1.12-3.91; p=0.019 and AHR 1.94, 95% CI 1.00-3.56; p=0.05, respectively) (Figure 1). AF recurred in >50% of obese patients within 1.5 years of ablation. Pre-ablation PWD >130 ms and negative P-waves in lead II or III independently predicted recurrent AF post-ablation in this cohort of obese patients. These easily assessed findings add predictive value to other risk factors.