南高加索目前的安全局势:更广泛的区域背景

A. Grigoryan, Ceu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

虽然南高加索地区未解决的冲突有时被称为“冻结”,但这基本上是一种用词不当:局势动荡,有可能发生大规模暴力。除了对人类安全的持续威胁外,欧盟外围地区的局势可能会威胁到石油和天然气供应路线以及其他运输走廊,特别是欧洲和中亚之间的运输走廊。此外,全球和地区大国之间的多重对抗使局势更加复杂。本文在考虑到上述问题的情况下审查了局势,并在更广泛的区域范围内审查了南高加索目前的安全局势。本文还探讨了俄罗斯的地区利益和其他地区参与者——伊朗和土耳其——的态度,以及它们与南高加索国家的关系。
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CURRENT SECURITY SITUATION IN THE SOUTH CAUCASUS: WIDER REGIONAL CONTEXT
While unsolved conflicts in the South Caucasus are sometimes labelled “frozen”, that is basically a misnomer: there is a volatile situation with a potential for large-scale violence. In addition to the persistent threat for human security, the situation in that part of the EU’s periphery may potentially threat oil and gas supply routes and other transportation corridors, particularly between Europe and Central Asia. Furthermore, the situation is additionally complicated by multiple antagonisms between global and regional powers. This article offers a review of the situation taking into consideration the mentioned issues and examining the current security situation in the South Caucasus within a wider regional context. The article also examines Russia’s regional interests and the attitudes of other regional actors – Iran and Turkey, and their relations with the South Caucasian countries.
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