定期列车时刻表对消费者利益和需求的影响

Mark Wardman , Jeremy Shires , William Lythgoe , Jonathan Tyler
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引用次数: 49

摘要

本文报道了一项新颖的研究,该研究揭示了铁路旅客从更有规律的时刻表中获得的好处,而不仅仅是提高班次的好处。在铁路旅客中进行了一项陈述偏好(SP)练习,以估计这些好处,并使用大致合理的结果来增强铁路需求模型,该模型反过来又用于预测在一系列情况下更定期的时刻表对需求的影响。不足为奇的是,需求的影响通常相对较小,尽管它们在评估常规时间表方面将受到欢迎的额外好处。
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Consumer benefits and demand impacts of regular train timetables

This paper reports novel research into the benefits that rail travellers receive from more regular features of timetables over and above any benefits of improved frequency. A stated preference (SP) exercise amongst rail travellers was conducted to estimate these benefits and the generally plausible results have been used to enhance a rail demand model which in turn has been used to forecast the effect on demand of more regular timetables for a range of situations. Not surprisingly, the demand impacts are generally relatively small, although they would be welcome additional benefits in the evaluation of a regular timetable.

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