具有保证最低收益和定期费用的可变年金的估值和最佳退保

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Scandinavian Actuarial Journal Pub Date : 2022-11-07 DOI:10.1080/03461238.2022.2141656
J. Kirkby, Jean-Philippe Aguilar
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文研究了在lsamv驱动的具有死亡风险的股票市场下,可变(股票挂钩)年金的估值和最优退保。我们考虑一个实际的定期收费结构,它可以随时间而变化,并按基金价值的比例进行评估。到期时,基金价值将根据保证的最低累积收益(GMAB)退还给保单持有人。死亡风险也被离散建模,合同在到期前提供保证的最低死亡收益(GMBD)。这些好处包括对基金的增长设定上限(除了上升的下限外),以降低费用水平,并抑制提前退保。利率是通过确定性贴现期限结构建模的,根据市场惯例,该期限结构可以根据利率市场进行校准(自引导)。制定了一个有效和准确的估价框架,以及在不允许退保的情况下的封闭式定价公式。我们进行了大量的实验来说明合同参数和放弃决策之间的相互作用,我们提供了一个广泛的分析,研究如何构建合同来抑制提前放弃。
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Valuation and optimal surrender of variable annuities with guaranteed minimum benefits and periodic fees
This work studies the valuation and optimal surrender of variable (equity-linked) annuities under a Lévy-driven equity market with mortality risk. We consider a practical periodic fee structure which can vary over time and is assessed as a proportion of the fund value. At maturity, the fund value is returned to the policyholder according to a guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit (GMAB). Mortality risk is also modeled discretely, and the contract offers a guaranteed minimum death benefit (GMBD) prior to maturity. The benefits accommodate caps on the growth of funds (in addition to the rising floor) to reduce the fee level and as a disincentive to early surrender. Interest rates are modeled via a deterministic discounting term structure, which can be calibrated (bootstrapped) to the rates market, according to market convention. An efficient and accurate valuation framework is developed, along with closed form pricing formulas in the case where policy surrender is not permitted. Numerous experiments are conducted to illustrate the interplay between contract parameters and the decision to surrender, and we provide an extensive analysis that investigates how to structure contracts to disincentivize early surrender.
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来源期刊
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
38
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal is a journal for actuarial sciences that deals, in theory and application, with mathematical methods for insurance and related matters. The bounds of actuarial mathematics are determined by the area of application rather than by uniformity of methods and techniques. Therefore, a paper of interest to Scandinavian Actuarial Journal may have its theoretical basis in probability theory, statistics, operations research, numerical analysis, computer science, demography, mathematical economics, or any other area of applied mathematics; the main criterion is that the paper should be of specific relevance to actuarial applications.
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