区间亏缺风速数据用于风电评估的统计探讨

IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Journal of Energy in Southern Africa Pub Date : 2019-12-05 DOI:10.17159/2413-3051/2019/v30i4a5694
F. Lubbe, T. Harms, J. Maritz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

收集高质量的风速数据既耗时又昂贵。本研究确定了区间缺陷风速数据是否可用于风力评估。通过研究威布尔尺度和形状因子随风速测量间隔增大的变化规律,探讨了间隔不足对风速数据质量的影响。基于一种从缺乏间隔的风速数据集中找到真正威布尔参数的方法,对来自南部非洲大学辐射网络(Sauran)的5个风速数据集进行了分析。与符合IEC 61400-12-1:2005(E)标准的风速数据集计算的威布尔参数相比,威布尔参数的相对误差平均小于1%。这一发现可能有助于减少风电评估的时间和成本。它还可以促进统计方法在可再生能源部门的应用。
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A statistical exploration of interval-deficient wind speed data for application to wind power assessments
Gathering quality wind speed data can be time-consuming and expensive. The present study established whether interval-deficient wind speed data could be rendered useful for wind power assessments. The effect of interval deficiency on the quality of the wind speed data was investigated by studying the behaviour of the Weibull scale and shape factors as the interval size between wind speed measurements increased. Five wind speed data sets obtained from the Southern African Universities Radiometric Network (Sauran) were analysed, based on a proposed procedure to find the true Weibull parameters from an interval-deficient wind speed data set. It was found that the relative errors in the Weibull parameters were, on average, less than 1%, compared with the Weibull parameters computed from a wind speed data set that complies with the IEC 61400-12-1:2005(E) standard. This finding may contribute to time and cost reduction in wind power assessments. It may also promote the application of statistical methods in the renewable energy sector.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: The journal has a regional focus on southern Africa. Manuscripts that are accepted for consideration to publish in the journal must address energy issues in southern Africa or have a clear component relevant to southern Africa, including research that was set-up or designed in the region. The southern African region is considered to be constituted by the following fifteen (15) countries: Angola, Botswana, Democratic Republic of Congo, Lesotho, Malawi, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Within this broad field of energy research, topics of particular interest include energy efficiency, modelling, renewable energy, poverty, sustainable development, climate change mitigation, energy security, energy policy, energy governance, markets, technology and innovation.
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