血清皮质醇水平作为ST段抬高型心肌梗死经皮介入治疗患者住院死亡率的预测因子

M. Rao, T. Devasia, H. Kareem, R. Padmakumar, A. Ashwal
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引用次数: 1

摘要

介绍:各种实验室指标已被提出用于评估心肌梗死的预后。血清皮质醇就是这样一种实验室标志物。在最近的研究中,只有少数研究证明皮质醇是STEMI的预后标志物。方法:我们研究了2016年4月至2016年11月期间出现STEMI并在症状出现后12小时内接受首次经皮介入治疗(PPCI)的168例患者。结果:研究人群平均年龄61±0.12岁。男性占多数(n = 132, 78.57%)。155名患者存活,13名患者在医院死亡。平均句法评分为16.65±5分。死亡33例,存活13.11±5.62例(P = 0.03)。死亡患者的平均皮质醇(46.13±14.61 mcg/dl)明显高于存活患者(31.16±13.16 mcg/dl) (P = 0.003)。住院死亡率的ROC AUC为0.77(95%可信区间[CI], 0.645-0.897)。从ROC曲线上确定的最佳切点是随机血清皮质醇浓度为33.66微克/分升,相应的灵敏度和特异性分别为69.2%和64%。在临界值为29.55微克/分升时,敏感性和特异性分别为84.6%和50%。结论:本研究表明,血清皮质醇水平是STEMI患者PPCI死亡率的一个强有力的预测因子。超过33.66微克/分升的水平可以预测死亡率,敏感性接近70%,特异性为64%。
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Serum Cortisol Level as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Intervention for ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction
Introduction: Various laboratory markers have been proposed to assess prognosis in myocardial infarction. Serum cortisol is one such laboratory marker. There are only few studies done in the recent past which prove that cortisol is a prognostic marker in STEMI. Methods: We studied a total of 168 patients who presented with STEMI and underwent primary percutaneous intervention (PPCI) within 12 hours of symptom onset between April 2016 and November 2016. Results: The average age of study population was 61 ± 0.12 years. Males were predominant (n = 132, 78.57%). 155 patients survived, whereas 13 patients died in the hospital. Mean syntax score was 16.65 ±5. 33 among patients who died, whereas it was 13.11 ± 5.62 among survivors (P = 0.03). Mean cortisol was significantly higher among the patients who died (46.13 ± 14.61 mcg/dl) than the survivors (31.16 ± 13.16 mcg/dl) (P = 0.003). The ROC AUC for in-hospital mortality was 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.645–0.897). An optimal cut-point identified from the ROC curve was a random serum cortisol concentration of 33.66 mcg/dl, with corresponding sensitivity and specificity of 69.2 % and 64 %, respectively. At a cut-point of 29.55 mcg/dl, sensitivity and specificity were 84.6 and 50 %, respectively. Conclusion: This study showed that serum cortisol level is a strong predictor of mortality in patients undergoing PPCI for STEMI. Levels more than 33.66 mcg/dl can predict mortality with a sensitivity of almost 70 percent and specificity of 64 percent.
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