存在GARCH(11)误差的8个正态检验的统计大小和幂

Julio César Alonso, Daniela Estrada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项工作中,我们使用MonteCarlo模拟,在假设误差遵循GARCH(1,1)过程的情况下,评估了八个正态性检验的功率和大小。有四个结果引人注目。首先,GARCH(1,1)过程的存在增加了发生类型I错误的概率。其次,如果假设误差遵循GARCH(1,1)过程,建议使用pearson正态性检验。第三,统计能力取决于所考虑的异方差和分布的类型。第四,对于小样本和均方差样本,正态性检验具有较低的统计能力和大小(小于或等于名义水平)。
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Statistical Size and Power of Eight Normality Tests in Presence of GARCH (1 1) Errors
In this work, we assess the power and size of eight normality tests underthe assumption that errors follow a GARCH (1, 1) process by using MonteCarlo simulations. Four results stand out. First, the presence of a GARCH(1, 1) process increases the probability of making type I error. Second, Pearsonnormality test is recommended if it is assumed that errors follow a GARCH(1, 1) process. Third, statistical power varies depending on the type of heteroscedasticity and distribution considered. Fourth, normality tests have lowstatistical power and size (less than or equal to the nominal level) for smalland homoscedastic samples.
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