阿拉伯制造业内部贸易作为技术进步的决定因素

Aliaa Nabil Khodeir
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究试图通过关注1995-2014年期间制造业内贸易的作用来讨论决定该地区阿拉伯国家技术进步的主要渠道之一。本文从科布-道格拉斯总生产函数回归出发,通过索洛新古典增长模型,厘清了阿拉伯制造业内部贸易结构,并估计了全要素生产率作为技术进步的主要共同指标。然后,对高技能制造业和低技能制造业的全要素生产率与贸易内关系进行了实证分析。使用Microfit软件5.0和边界检验方法的计量结果表明,高技能技术制造业的内部贸易是阿拉伯地区短期和长期技术进步的重要来源,而低技能技术制造业的内部贸易仅在短期内是技术进步的重要来源。
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Intra-Trade in Arab Manufacturing Industries as a determinant of the technological progress

This study attempts to discuss one of the main channels determining the technological progress of Arab countries in the region through concentrating on the role of intra-trade in manufacturing industries during the period of 1995-2014. It is about clarifying the structure of the intra-trade in Arab manufacturing industries, and estimating the total factor productivity as the main common indicator of the technological progress through Solow neoclassical model of growth from the regression of Cobb-Douglas aggregate production function. Then, an empirical analysis of the relationship between total factor productivity and intra-trade in both of high-skilled and low-skilled technology manufactures was implemented. Econometric results using Microfit software 5.0 and the Bounds test approach suggested that the intra-trade in high-skilled technology manufactures is a significant source of technological progress of the Arab region on both the short and long run, while the intra-trade in low-skilled technology manufactures is a significant source of technological progress on the short run only.

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