摩洛哥和摩洛哥外商直接投资决定因素的比较分析

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance African Journal of Business and Economic Research Pub Date : 2023-02-20 DOI:10.5296/ber.v13i1.20675
Ayoub Bendriouch, Kamil Uslu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

外国直接投资可以对新兴国家的经济和社会潜力的发展产生积极影响,只要它们作出努力吸引适当的投资者。在发展中国家中,我们有兴趣分析土耳其和摩洛哥的FDI吸引力,并对这两个国家进行比较分析。很少有实证研究概述了外国直接投资决定因素以及它们如何分别影响土耳其和摩洛哥的外国直接投资吸引力。因此,本文的贡献是比较这些国家的外国直接投资流入,然后确定影响其外国直接投资吸引力的决定因素。为此,我们在1980年至2020年期间对两国使用了ARDL计量经济模型。我们的研究结果表明,两国短期内FDI流动的影响因素存在重要的相似性。开放程度和通货膨胀对两国都有正向影响,而市场规模对FDI吸引力有负向影响。然而,信贷只在土耳其有积极作用,在摩洛哥没有意义。另一方面,从长远来看,土耳其和摩洛哥之间的相似性较小,因为只有GDP对两国具有显著的积极影响。通货膨胀只在摩洛哥有显著的负面影响,人力资本只在 rkiye产生积极影响,而开放和信贷也只在 rkiye产生显著的负面影响。两国长期结果之间的差异表明,外国直接投资决定因素在土耳其比在摩洛哥吸引外国直接投资流入方面发挥了更有效的作用,这证实了每个国家获得的外国直接投资流入水平的差异。
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Comparative Analysis of the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investments in Morocco and Türkiye
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) can have a positive effect on the development of the economic and social potential of emerging countries provided that they make efforts to attract appropriate investors. Among developing countries, we are interested to analyze FDI attractiveness in Türkiye and Morocco and proceed with a comparative analysis between these two countries.Very few empirical studies present an overview of FDI determinants and how they can influence the FDI attractiveness of Türkiye and Morocco separately. Consequently, the contribution of this paper is to compare FDI inflows in these countries and then identify the determinants that impact their FDI attractiveness. For this purpose, we used an ARDL econometric model in both countries over the period 1980 to 2020.Our results show that there is an important similarity between the impacting factors on FDI flows in the short run in both countries. Openness and inflation have positive effects in both countries, while market size has a negative impact on FDI attractiveness. Credit, however, has a positive effect only in Türkiye but no significance in Morocco. On the other hand, there is less similarity between Türkiye and Morocco in the long run, since only GDP has a significant and positive impact in both countries. Inflation has a significant and negative impact only in Morocco, and human capital is positively impactful only in Türkiye, while openness and credit have a significant and negative impact also only in Türkiye. This difference between the long-run results in both countries shows that FDI determinants play a more effective role in attracting FDI inflows in Türkiye than in Morocco, which substantiates the difference in the level of FDI inflows that each country gets.
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来源期刊
African Journal of Business and Economic Research
African Journal of Business and Economic Research Business, Management and Accounting-Business and International Management
CiteScore
0.80
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0.00%
发文量
33
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