印度奥里萨邦气旋风暴的长期频率和强度及相关损失

IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Environmental Hazards-Human and Policy Dimensions Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI:10.1080/17477891.2022.2069665
M. Mishra, T. Acharyya, Namita Pattnaik, M. Dash, P. Das, S. Mishra
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要:研究了奥里萨邦沿海低气压(D)、气旋风暴(CS)和强气旋风暴(SCS)的长期(1890-2020)频率变化。我们审查了死亡人数、财产和牲畜损失,并与该州现有的气旋灾害管理政策联系起来。D和CS的年代际频率分别在1930 ~ 1939年和1890 ~ 1899年达到峰值后呈明显的下降趋势。平均而言,南海每十年撞击两次多一点。在近50年(1970-2020年),南海对大气扰动总量的贡献率上升了13%,在近10年(2010-2020年)的贡献率最大(20%),但长期频率变化不显著。在1895年、1967年、1971年、1972年和1999年的飓风中,死亡人数超过5000人。国家灾害管理局(SDMA)的建立、有效的预报和疏散策略成功地降低了死亡人数,但牲畜、生物多样性、生计和基础设施的损失仍然令人担忧。决策者应努力通过种植保护性红树林、教育和确保更好的生活条件,以及对基础设施实施4R(稳健、冗余、机智和快速反应)恢复力原则,提高面临风险社区的恢复力。
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The long-term frequency and intensity of cyclonic storms and associated losses in Odisha, India
ABSTRACT We investigated long-term (1890–2020) frequency changes in depressions (D), cyclonic storms (CS) and severe cyclonic storms (SCS), along Odisha coast. We reviewed the fatalities, damage to properties and livestock and linked with the existing cyclone disaster management policy of the state. The decadal frequencies of D and CS show marked declining pattern after reaching their peak in 1930–1939 and 1890–1899, respectively. On an average, the SCS hits slightly more than two times per decade. No notable change in the long-term frequency of SCS was noticed, though last five decades (1970–2020) witnessed an upsurge in % contribution of SCS (13%) to the total atmospheric disturbances, and the maximum contribution (20%) was in the latest decade (2010–2020). Human fatalities exceeded more than 5000 in 1895, 1967, 1971, 1972, and 1999 cyclones. Establishment of SDMA (State Disaster Management Authority), efficient forecasting and evacuation strategies have successfully brought down the fatalities, but the loss of livestock, biodiversity, livelihoods, and infrastructure remains a concern. Decision-makers should strive to increase the resilience of at-risk communities through planting protective mangrove cover, educating and ensuring better living conditions, and implementing 4R (Robustness, Redundancy, Resourcefulness and Rapid response) resilience principles for the infrastructure.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.20
自引率
5.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: Environmental Hazards: Human and Policy Dimensions is an innovative, interdisciplinary and international research journal addressing the human and policy dimensions of hazards. The journal addresses the full range of hazardous events from extreme geological, hydrological, atmospheric and biological events, such as earthquakes, floods, storms and epidemics, to technological failures and malfunctions, such as industrial explosions, fires and toxic material releases. Environmental Hazards: Human and Policy Dimensions is the source of the new ideas in hazards and risk research.
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