世界上最大的债务国?

Robert Eisner , Paul J. Pieper
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引用次数: 27

摘要

美国已成为“世界上最大的债务国”这一说法被广泛重复,其依据是有关其“净国际投资头寸”的报告。这种情况不仅与债务有关,而且与美国对外国资产的净索赔权和外国对美国资产的净索赔权之间的差额有关。主要部分是股票和直接投资,后者按“账面”或原始成本估值。对直接投资现值的估计,无论是基于股价的市场价值还是重置成本,都会产生巨大的不对称调整。由于美国在海外的直接投资通常要古老得多,它比外国在美国的直接投资增值得多。在对黄金的市场价值和坏帐进行调整后,估计美国的净国际投资头寸在1987年底或多或少处于平衡状态,在1988年底只有相对较小的赤字。
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The world's greatest debtor nation?

The widely repeated assertion that the United States has become “the world's greatest debtor nation” is based on reports of its “net international investment position.” This position relates not exclusively to debt but rather to the difference between net United States claims to foreign assets and net foreign claims to United States assets. Major portions are equities and direct investment, the latter valued at “book” or original cost.

Estimates of the current value of direct investment, either market value on the basis of share prices or replacement cost, effect huge asymmetric adjustments. As United States direct investment abroad is generally much older, it has appreciated much more than foreign direct investment in the United States. With adjustments as well for the market value of gold and for bad debts, it is estimated that the United States net international investment position was more or less in balance at the end of 1987 and in only relatively small deficit at the end of 1988.

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