世界石油工业的兼并重组

J.Fred Weston, Brian A. Johnson, Juan A. Siu
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引用次数: 56

摘要

本研究的重点是世界石油工业,因为相关市场是全球性的。石油行业的并购反映了全球并购活动的加速速度。基本的变化力量是:技术进步、全球化、放松管制、产业动态、经济压力和有利的经济环境。变革的力量模糊了行业的界限,使竞争的形式和来源成倍增加。并购和结构调整对经济表现产生了积极影响。自上世纪80年代以来,美国的实际GDP增长一直很强劲,只有短暂的中断。在过去的20年里,每年创造了近200万个新的就业机会。石油工业的模式反映了整个经济的这些变化,强调技术改进和成本降低。石油行业的价格不稳定和其他风险增加引发了并购和重组。对BP收购Amoco的财务分析表明,即使实现了一小部分的成本节约,市场价值也会增加。如果完成五项大型合并,世界石油工业的HHI指数将从非常低的389上升到581,仍远低于监管当局规定的1000的临界水平。分析表明,BP收购Amoco将对阿拉斯加经济产生积极的经济影响。
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Mergers and restructuring in the world oil industry

This study focuses on the world oil industry since the relevant markets are global. Mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in the petroleum industry reflect the accelerating rate of M&A activity worldwide. The basic change forces are: technological advances, globalization, deregulation, industry dynamics, pressure for economies, and favorable economic environments. The change forces have blurred the boundaries of industries and have multiplied the forms and sources of competition. M&As and restructuring have had positive influences in the performance of the economy. Since the 1980s, real GDP growth in the U.S. has been strong with only short interruptions. During the past 2 decades, almost 2 million new jobs per year have been created. Patterns in the oil industry have mirrored these changes in the economy as a whole, emphasizing technological improvements and cost reductions. Instabilities of prices and other increased risks in the oil industry have triggered M&As and restructuring. Financial analysis of the BP acquisition of Amoco demonstrates that even if a fraction of the estimated cost savings are achieved, market values will be increased. If five major mergers are completed, the HHI for the world oil industry will rise from a very low 389 to 581, still well below the 1,000 critical level specified by the regulatory authorities. Analysis suggests that the BP Amoco acquisition will have positive economic effects on the economy of Alaska.

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