具有定量反应均衡的分散库存转运

Qingren He, Taiwei Shi, Fei Xu, W. Qiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管库存转运有好处,但许多行为实验表明,零售商经常偏离纳什均衡订货数量,这反过来影响了潜在的优势。受此问题的启发,我们建立了一个行为模型,从分析建模的角度分析两家从事库存转运的独立零售商之间的订货数量偏差。在我们的模型中,我们将有限理性与量子反应平衡结合起来。首先,我们建立了这种量子响应平衡的存在性,并给出了其唯一性的条件。其次,比较了一定转运价格范围内的量子反应均衡与纳什均衡,发现极限量子反应均衡等价于纳什均衡。最后,我们设计了一个包含零售商学习效应的迭代算法来确定订购数量的定量响应平衡。结果表明,最优订货量和邻近订货量应以较高的概率选择。此外,零售商应该通过反复的转运博弈,逐步提高他们的认知能力或计算能力,以改善他们的决策过程。此外,为了确保平衡的库存共享系统,库存策略的评估应始终优先考虑避免过剩而不是短缺。
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Decentralized Inventory Transshipments with Quantal Response Equilibrium
Despite the benefits of inventory transshipment, numerous behavioral experiments have revealed that retailers often deviate from the Nash-equilibrium ordering quantities, which in turn impacts the potential advantages. Motivated by this issue, we developed a behavioral model to analyze the deviation of ordering quantities among two independent retailers who engage in inventory transshipment from the perspective of analytical modeling. In our model, we incorporated bounded rationality with the quantal response equilibrium. Firstly, we established the existence of such a quantal response equilibrium and provided the conditions for its uniqueness. Secondly, we compared the quantal response equilibrium with the Nash equilibrium within a certain range of transshipment prices and observed that the limiting quantal response equilibrium is equivalent to the Nash equilibrium. Lastly, we design an iterative algorithm that incorporates the learning effects of the retailers to determine the quantal response equilibrium for the ordering quantity. The results indicate that the optimal ordering quantity and the nearby ordering quantities should be chosen with higher probabilities. Additionally, the retailer should gradually enhance their cognitive or computational abilities through repeated transshipment games to improve their decision-making process. Furthermore, to ensure a balanced inventory-sharing system, the evaluation of inventory strategies should consistently prioritize avoiding surplus instead of shortage.
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