劳动力供给模型

R. Aaberge, U. Colombino
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引用次数: 40

摘要

本文发表于Cathal O " Donoghue主编的《Handbook of Microsimulation modeling》第七章,并在Emerald Publishing Group出版的《经济分析贡献》系列中发表。本文的目的是提供一个详细的讨论,有关劳动供给领域的发展聚焦微观模拟模型和方法的选择。本文确定了三种模拟劳动力供给的方法*简化形式方法*结构“边际主义者”方法*随机效用最大化方法。本文考虑了与(事后)实验或准实验分析相关的结构模型可靠性问题。然而,认识到需要进行事前分析,它提出了问题,是否有结构模型的替代方案,我们如何评估结构模型,以及如何将它们与其他方法进行比较。然后,本文描述了在产生和解释模拟结果方面利用这些模型进行政策模拟的方法,概述了利用该方法进行政策分析的广泛文献。此外,劳动力供给不仅是建模行为反应的核心,也是建模最优税收-福利系统的核心,重点是计算方法,考虑到理论方法的一些挑战。将劳动力供给结果与福利函数相结合,可以对政策模拟进行社会评价。结合福利函数和劳动供给函数,本章确定了如何建立社会最优所得税模型。
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Labour Supply models
This paper is published as Chapter 7 of Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling edited by Cathal O''Donoghue, and issued in the series Contributions to Economic Analysis by Emerald Publishing Group. The purpose of the paper is to provide a detailed discussion in relation to the development of the field of labour supply focused microsimulation models and methodological choices. The paper identifies three methodologies for modelling labour supply *The Reduced Form Approach *The Structural "Marginalist" Approach *The Random Utility Maximisation Approach The paper considers issues associated with the reliability of structural models relative to (ex-post) experimental or quasi-experimental analysis. Recognising however the need to undertake ex-ante analysis, it questions, whether there are alternatives to structural models and how can we evaluate structural models and how they are compared with other approaches. The paper then describes approaches to utilising these models for policy simulation in terms of producing and interpreting simulation outcomes, outlining an extensive literature of policy analyses utilising the approach. Also labour supply is not only central to modelling behavioural response but also modelling optimal tax-benefit systems, with a focus on a computational approach, given some of the challenges of the theoretical approach. Combining labour supply results with welfare functions enables the social evaluation of policy simulations. Combining welfare functions and labour supply functions, the chapter then identifies how to model socially optimal income taxation.
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