学习曲线:复制危机中的进展

N. Angrist, C. Cullen, Micheal Ainomugisha, Sai Pramod Bathena, Peter Bergman, Colin Crossley, Thato Letsomo, Moitshepi Matsheng, Rene Marlon Panti, Shwetlena Sabarwal, Tim Sullivan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们提供了一项针对五个国家的电话定向辅导随机试验的详细监测数据,这是迄今为止在教育领域最大的多国复制工作之一。我们研究了一种在博茨瓦纳行之有效的方法,并在印度、肯尼亚、尼泊尔、菲律宾和乌干达得到了复制。虽然现有文献经常发现,随着概念验证研究的复制和规模的扩大,效果会逐渐减弱,但我们发现相反的情况:实施保真度(有针对性的教育指导的程度)在重复和时间的推移中有所提高。这表明复制并非难以处理;相反,配备了从经验中学习的机制,组织的“学习曲线”可以实现有效的复制和扩大。
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Learning Curve: Progress in the Replication Crisis
We present detailed monitoring data across a five-country randomized trial of phone-based targeted tutoring–one of the largest multicountry replication efforts in education to date. We study an approach shown to work in Botswana and replicated in India, Kenya, Nepal, the Philippines, and Uganda. While the existing literature often finds diminishing effects as proof-of-concept studies are replicated and scaled, we find the opposite: implementation fidelity (the degree of targeted educational instruction) improves across replications and over time. This demonstrates that replication is not intractable; rather, equipped with mechanisms to learn from experience, organizational “learning curves” can enable effective replication and scale-up.
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