数字经济发展对地方财政压力的影响研究

IF 2.9 2区 数学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Pub Date : 2023-02-16 DOI:10.58567/jes01010004
Baolin Song, Xinrui Hu, Han Zhang, Yanchen Gao, Yuan Guo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

数字经济的蓬勃发展为缓解地方财政压力提供了新的研究视角。基于2013 - 2020年省级面板数据,运用中介效应模型和阈值回归模型,探讨数字经济对地方财政压力的影响及机制。研究表明,数字经济通过增加财政收入对地方财政压力具有显著的缓解作用,这种缓解作用对创业活动具有阈值效应。从维度上看,数字经济发展环境对地方财政压力的缓解效果优于数字工业化和产业数字化。从区域来看,数字经济对西部地区的影响最为明显。此外,分位数回归结果显示,随着金融压力的增大,数字经济的宽松效应呈现倒u型变化。因此,为了有效缓解地方政府的财政压力,中国应继续推动数字经济的发展,采取多种措施增加创业活动,鼓励各地因地制宜实施差异化的数字经济发展战略。
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Research on the Effect of Digital Economy Development on Local Financial Pressure
The vigorous development of the digital economy provides a new research perspective for alleviating local financial pressure. Based on the provincial panel data from 2013 to 2020, the mediating effect model and threshold regression model were used to explore the effect and mechanism of the digital economy on local fiscal pressure. The research shows that the digital economy has a significant alleviating effect on local financial pressure by increasing fiscal revenue, and this alleviating effect has a threshold effect on entrepreneurial activity. From the perspective of dimension, the alleviating effect of the digital economy development environment on local financial pressure is better than that of digital industrialization and industrial digitization. From a regional perspective, the digital economy has the most apparent impact on the western region. In addition, the quantile regression results show that with the increase in financial pressure, the easing effect of the digital economy shows an inverted U-shaped change. Therefore, in order to effectively alleviate the financial pressure on local governments, China should continue to promote the development of the digital economy, take multiple measures to increase entrepreneurial activity, and encourage various regions to implement differentiated digital economy development strategies according to local conditions.
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来源期刊
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (JBES) publishes a range of articles, primarily applied statistical analyses of microeconomic, macroeconomic, forecasting, business, and finance related topics. More general papers in statistics, econometrics, computation, simulation, or graphics are also appropriate if they are immediately applicable to the journal''s general topics of interest. Articles published in JBES contain significant results, high-quality methodological content, excellent exposition, and usually include a substantive empirical application.
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