基于优化循环FLANN和基于案例推理的股票和外汇交易信号预测智能混合系统

D. K. Bebarta, T. K. Das, C. L. Chowdhary, Xiao Gao
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引用次数: 7

摘要

准确预测未来股市走势具有一定的挑战性,因为这需要对股票技术指标有深刻的了解,包括市场主导因素和内在过程机制。然而,更好的交易决策对一个成功的交易者的重要性激发了研究人员概念化采用新技术的优越模型。基于此,设计了一种基于案例推理(CBR)和萤火虫算法优化的递归函数链接人工神经网络(FLANN)的动态时间窗智能股票交易系统。使用cbr模块的想法是提供一个动态窗口搜索,以帮助周期性的FLANN架构对交易操作进行卓越的微调。该综合股票交易系统旨在选择目标股票的买入/卖出窗口以实现利润最大化。为了证明所预测系统的适用性,我们使用IBM、Oracle的时间序列股票数据以及欧元兑换印度卢比和美元兑换印度卢比的每日收盘价数据进行模拟。使用平均绝对误差和平均绝对百分比误差等误差度量来评估所提出模型的性能。此外,对不同的股票和外汇交易数据,展示了使用/不使用CBR得到的实验结果。
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An Intelligent Hybrid System for Forecasting Stock and Forex Trading Signals using Optimized Recurrent FLANN and Case-Based Reasoning
An accurate prediction of future stockmarket trends is a bit challenging as it requires a profound understanding of stock technical indicators, including market-dominant factors and inherent process mechanism. However, the significance of better trading decisions for a successful trader inspires researchers to conceptualize superior model employing the novel set of techniques. In light of this, an intelligent stock trading system utilizing dynamic time windows with case-based reasoning (CBR), and recurrent function link artificial neural network (FLANN) optimizedwith Firefly algorithm is designed. The idea of usingCBRmodule is to offer a dynamic window search to assist the recurrent FLANN architecture for superior fine-tuning the trading operations. This integrated stock trading system is intended to pick the buy/sell window of target stock tomaximize the profit. To demonstrate the applicability of the projected system, the time-series stock data from IBM, Oracle and in currency Euro to INR and USD to INR exchange data on daily closing stock prices are used for simulation. The performance of the proposed model is assessed using error measures such as mean absolute error and mean absolute percent error. Furthermore, the experimental results obtained with/without using CBR is exhibited for different stock and Forex trading data.
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